GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
Cerezo Osaka
Sun, 17 May · 06:00
J1 League
Nagoya Grampus
TOP PICK
Nagoya Grampus
PROJECTED: 1-1
37%
CONF 48
WIN PROBABILITY
35%
Cerezo Osa...
28%
Draw
37%
Nagoya Gra...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
34% 31% 35%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
39% 19% 42%
DL 25% WEIGHT
35% 28% 37%
FINAL BLEND
35% 28% 37%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 1
xG 0.99 vs 1.01
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 0-1
0.0%
2 0-0
0.0%
3 1-1
0.0%
4 1-0
0.0%
5 0-2
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
42%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YES
54%
BTTS NO
46%
💎 VALUE BETS
AWAY to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 37% 2.85 +5.4%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 65% 1.57 +2.1%
Draw
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 28% 3.42 -4.1%
HOME or AWAY (12)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 72% 1.28 -8.1%
HOME or Draw (1X)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 63% 1.39 -12.7%
Both Teams Score — YES
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 54% 1.58 -14.8%
HOME to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 35% 2.32 -18.9%
Over 2.5 Goals
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 42% 1.74 -27.0%
CONTEXT
· Nagoya lead the league but Cerezo's home form is respectable; tight match favours the slight away edge.
· Nagoya top of table with 6-point lead and superior GD (+9 vs +3)
· Cerezo home form (WDWDD) solid but recent overall trend mixed (WDDDL)
· Nagoya's away form (WWDWD) very strong — road record is key advantage
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
Yuya Yamagishi
AWY · F · 9g/16
38%
2
Yudai Kimura
AWY · F · 7g/17
28%
3
Thiago Andrade
HOM · F · 5g/16
21%
4
Solomon Sakuragawa
HOM · F · 4g/14
14%
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
3
Cerezo Osa...
1
Draw
6
Nagoya Gra...
04 Apr 3-0
04 Oct 2-1
08 Mar 1-1
30 Jun 2-1
21 Apr 2-1
📖 Methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.
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