GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
V-varen Nagasaki
Sun, 17 May · 04:00
J1 League
Vissel Kobe
TOP PICK
Vissel Kobe
PROJECTED: 1-2
44%
CONF 48
WIN PROBABILITY
28%
V-varen Na...
28%
Draw
44%
Vissel Kob...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
16% 20% 63%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
31% 19% 51%
DL 25% WEIGHT
28% 28% 44%
FINAL BLEND
28% 28% 44%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 2
xG 0.94 vs 2.06
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 0-2
0.0%
2 0-1
0.0%
3 1-2
0.0%
4 1-1
0.0%
5 0-3
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
52%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YES
58%
BTTS NO
42%
💎 VALUE BETS
HOME to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 28% 4.48 +25.4%
HOME or Draw (1X)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 56% 2.01 +12.4%
Both Teams Score — YES
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 58% 1.87 +8.3%
Over 2.5 Goals
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 52% 2.00 +3.8%
Draw
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 28% 3.53 -1.1%
HOME or AWAY (12)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 72% 1.26 -9.5%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 72% 1.18 -15.3%
AWAY to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 44% 1.77 -22.2%
VISSEL KOBE FACTORS
+25% Vissel Kobe 12 pts clear (2nd vs 10th) with +4 goal differential advantage
CONTEXT
· Kobe's 12-point league lead and superior away form edge Nagasaki despite home advantage; expect competitive match.
· Kobe's away form (DLDWD) solid vs Nagasaki's home form (WLDLW) — away team slight edge
· Nagasaki defensive vulnerability (GA 26 in 8 matches) vs Kobe's attacking threat (GF 26)
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
Yoshinori Muto
AWY · F · 4g/8
39%
2
Thiago Santana
HOM · F · 6g/15
31%
3
Matheus Jesus
HOM · F · 6g/16
29%
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
0
V-varen Na...
2
Draw
5
Vissel Kob...
13 Feb 2-0
06 Oct 1-1
18 Jul 0-1
📖 Methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.
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