GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
Vissel Kobe
Sun, 10 May · 05:00
J1 League
Fagiano Okayama
TOP PICK
Fagiano Okayama
PROJECTED: 0-3
95%
CONF 94
WIN PROBABILITY
2%
Vissel Kob...
3%
Draw
95%
Fagiano Ok...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
3% 8% 89%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
1% 1% 98%
DL 25% WEIGHT
2% 3% 95%
FINAL BLEND
2% 3% 95%
PREDICTED SCORE
0 - 3
xG 0.53 vs 3.37
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 0-3
0.0%
2 0-2
0.0%
3 0-4
0.0%
4 0-5
0.0%
5 1-3
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
95%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YES
8%
BTTS NO
92%
💎 VALUE BETS
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 95% 5.23 +397.1%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 98% 2.19 +114.5%
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 95% 2.02 +92.1%
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 97% 1.25 +20.8%
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 8% 1.96 -84.3%
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 3% 3.68 -89.0%
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 5% 1.14 -94.3%
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 2% 1.63 -96.7%
VISSEL KOBE FACTORS
+20% Vissel Kobe (2nd place, 28 pts) completely dominated by 8th-place Okayama despite home advantage
CONTEXT
· Match effectively over at 90' — Fagiano 3-0 up. Lock in away win.
· 3-goal lead at full-time whistle; Okayama making late substitutions to run down clock
· Okayama's road form (LDDDD) disproven by this performance; Kobe's home form (DLWDW) collapsed spectacularly
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
Yoshinori Muto
HOM · F · 4g/8
100%
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
3
Vissel Kob...
2
Draw
1
Fagiano Ok...
05 Apr 1-4
20 Jul 1-2
03 May 2-0
📖 Methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.
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