⚡ AI
3-2 · Cerezo Osaka 92%
· Over 2.5 94%
88
📊 FULL-TIME STATS
21
SHOTS
6
8
ON TARGET
4
66
POSSESSION %
34
8
CORNERS
2
9
FOULS
14
0
YELLOW CARDS
2
514
PASSES
273
⚡ KEY EVENTS
25'
⚽
Yamasaki Ryogo
Penalty Goal
28'
⚽
Thiago Andrade
Normal Goal
62'
🔄
Norman Campbell
Substitution
63'
🔄
Yamasaki Ryogo
Substitution
63'
🔄
Eduardo
Substitution
63'
⚽
Shunta Tanaka
Normal Goal
71'
🔄
Motoki Hasegawa
Substitution
72'
⚽
Matheus Jesus
Normal Goal
⭐ MAN OF THE MATCH
Thiago Andrade
8.2
RATING
📋 PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH
Cerezo Osaka
8.2
Thiago Andrade
7.9
Shunta Tanaka
7.3
Dion Cools
V-varen Nagasaki
Matheus Jesus
7.2
Motoki Hasegawa
6.9
Hatano Go
6.9
🏆 LEAGUE CONTEXT
4
Tokyo Verdy
17
28
Tokyo Verdy
17
28
4
Cerezo Osaka
16
25
Cerezo Osaka
16
25
10
JEF United Chiba
16
12
JEF United Chiba
16
12
10
V-varen Nagasaki
16
19
V-varen Nagasaki
16
19
25'
⚽
Yamasaki Ryogo
Penalty
28'
⚽
Thiago Andrade
Normal Goal
62'
🔄
Norman Campbell
Substitution 1
63'
🔄
Yamasaki Ryogo
Substitution 2
63'
🔄
Eduardo
Substitution 3
63'
⚽
Shunta Tanaka
Normal Goal
71'
🔄
Motoki Hasegawa
Substitution 4
72'
⚽
Matheus Jesus
Normal Goal
83'
🔄
Yoneda Shunya
Substitution 5
83'
⚽
Motohiko Nakajima
Missed Penalty
85'
🔄
Yumeki Yokoyama
Substitution 1
85'
🔄
Masaya Shibayama
Substitution 2
85'
🔄
Motohiko Nakajima
Substitution 3
86'
🟨
Riku Yamada
Yellow Card
86'
🟨
Thiago Santana
Yellow Card
88'
🔄
Thiago Andrade
Substitution 4
90'+4
⚽
Shinji Kagawa
Penalty
90'+11
🔄
Nelson Ishiwatari
Substitution 5
90'+11
🟨
Kosuke Nakamura
Yellow Card
21
SHOTS
6
8
ON TARGET
4
66
POSSESSION %
34
0
XG
0
8
CORNERS
2
9
FOULS
14
0
YELLOW CARDS
2
21
TOTAL SHOTS
6
8
ON TARGET
4
7
OFF TARGET
2
6
BLOCKED
0
15
INSIDE BOX
6
6
OUTSIDE BOX
0
0
XG
0
514
TOTAL PASSES
273
436
ACCURATE
176
85
ACCURACY %
64
66
POSSESSION %
34
8
CORNERS
2
5
OFFSIDES
2
2
GK SAVES
5
9
FOULS
14
0
YELLOW CARDS
2
0
RED CARDS
0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN
Cerezo Osa...
7 sh
Thiago And...
2/2
Shunta Tan...
1/2
Masaya Shi...
0/2
Shinji Kag...
1/1
V-varen Na...
1 sh
Matheus Je...
1/1
Cerezo Osaka
4-2-3-1
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME · 7 Recent meetings
4
Cerezo Osaka
0
D Draws
3
V-varen Naga...
RECENT MEETINGS
⚡ AI TOP PICK
Cerezo Osaka
PROJECTED: 3-2
92%
CONF 88
WIN PROBABILITY
92%
Cerezo Osa...
6%
Draw
2%
V-varen Na...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
| MODEL | Cerezo... | D | V-vare... |
|---|---|---|---|
| POISSON | 70% | 14% | 16% |
| ELO | 98% | 1% | 1% |
| DL | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| FINAL | 92% | 6% | 2% |
PREDICTED SCORE
3 - 2
📊 OVER / UNDER
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
94%
OVER 3.5
—
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
96%
YES
4%
NO
💡 KEY FACTORS
Cerezo ahead 3-2 at 90'+, match effectively over; home win near-certain barring VAR intervention.
1-goal lead with only 90' on clock — statistically <5% comeback probability
Cerezo just scored penalty at 90' to extend lead; momentum strongly home-favored
V-varen down to 10-man intensity (2 yellows at 86', suggesting fatigue/discipline issues)
OVER / UNDER · GOALS
1.5
10 bk
OVER
1.22
UNDER
3.93
2.5
11 bk
OVER
1.73
UNDER
2.06
3.5
10 bk
OVER
2.77
UNDER
1.40
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
YES
1.64
10 bk
NO
2.13
10 bk
ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25
2.23 7bk
Away -0.5
1.91 6bk
Away -0.75
1.68 7bk
Away -1
1.46 6bk
Away -1.25
1.38 5bk
Away -1.5
1.30 4bk
🏟 STADIUM
Yodoko Sakura Stadium
Osaka · 24,481 seats
REFEREE
Koki Nagamine, Japan
⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Koki Nagamine,...
—
CER... MGR
Arthur Papas
head coach
V-V... MGR
Takuya Takagi
head coach
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
Cerezo Osa... · 0 OUT
No injuries reported
V-varen Na... · 0 OUT
No injuries reported
KICK-OFFSat, 09 May · 07:00
RoundRegular Season - 16
Season2026
SURFACEGrass
CAPACITY24,481
🏟
Yodoko Sakura Stadium
Osaka · 24,481