GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Wed, 06 May · 06:00
J1 League
Vissel Kobe
TOP PICK
Draw
PROJECTED: 1-1
48%
CONF 62
WIN PROBABILITY
28%
Sanfrecce...
48%
Draw
24%
Vissel Kob...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
35% 31% 34%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
32% 41% 27%
DL 25% WEIGHT
28% 48% 24%
FINAL BLEND
28% 48% 24%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 1
xG 1.02 vs 0.98
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 1-0
0.0%
2 0-0
0.0%
3 1-1
0.0%
4 0-1
0.0%
5 2-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
35%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YES
58%
BTTS NO
42%
💎 VALUE BETS
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 48% 3.32 +59.6%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 72% 1.64 +17.8%
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 76% 1.33 +1.2%
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 58% 1.73 +0.1%
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 24% 3.12 -25.2%
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 35% 1.93 -32.3%
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 52% 1.29 -32.8%
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 28% 2.22 -37.9%
CONTEXT
· Tied at 90' with Kobe substituting late; draw heavily favoured; low-chance second half suggests stalemate holds.
· 1-1 at 90' (or deep injury time) — draw is natural momentum baseline
· Kobe's away form disastrous (LDDDD) despite league-leading position; Hiroshima home form marginal (WWLDL)
· Combined xG unavailable but recent subs and yellow cards suggest tactical caution; Over 2.5 unlikely
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
Yoshinori Muto
AWY · F · 4g/8
100%
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
2
Sanfrecce...
2
Draw
6
Vissel Kob...
27 Mar 2-1
20 Aug 0-1
02 Jul 1-0
05 Jul 1-3
16 Mar 0-0
📖 Methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.
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