⚡ AI PREDICTION
TOP PICK
Draw
PROJECTED: 1-1
43%
CONF 58
WIN PROBABILITY
42%
Nagoya Gra...
43%
Draw
15%
Fagiano Ok...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
40%
31%
29%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
49%
36%
16%
DL
25% WEIGHT
42%
43%
15%
FINAL BLEND
42%
43%
15%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 1
xG 1.11 vs 0.89
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
1-0
0.0%
2
0-0
0.0%
3
1-1
0.0%
4
0-1
0.0%
5
2-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
38%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
52%
BTTS NO
48%
💎 VALUE BETS
Draw
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw or AWAY (X2)
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or Draw (1X)
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Both Teams Score — YES
8 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Over 2.5 Goals
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME to Win
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or AWAY (12)
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AWAY to Win
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
CONTEXT
·
Tied 1-1 with 1 minute to go; draw is most likely, small home edge from position + quality.
·
Current state (89' minute, 1-1 scoreline) anchors draw probability very high
·
Nagoya position 2 vs Okayama position 8 — underlying quality favours home, but late stage limits it
·
Okayama yellow cards (83', 85') reduce late-game intensity; Nagoya substitutions suggest control
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
50%
Yudai Kimura
HOM · F · 6g/13
2
50%
Yuya Yamagishi
HOM · F · 6g/13
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
5
Nagoya Gra...
3
Draw
0
Fagiano Ok...
01 Mar
1-1
13 Sep
0-1
06 May
0-0
📖 Methodology
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.