GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
San Lorenzo
Sat, 15 Aug · 17:30
Liga Profesional de Fútb...
Union Santa Fe
TOP PICK
San Lorenzo
PROJECTED: 1-1
42%
CONF 28
WIN PROBABILITY
42%
San Lorenz...
28%
Draw
30%
Union Sant...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
37% 31% 32%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
48% 19% 33%
DL 25% WEIGHT
42% 28% 30%
FINAL BLEND
42% 28% 30%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 1
xG 1.05 vs 0.95
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 1-0
0.0%
2 0-0
0.0%
3 1-1
0.0%
4 0-1
0.0%
5 2-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
48%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YES
54%
BTTS NO
46%
💎 VALUE BETS
Over 2.5 Goals
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 48% 2.53 +21.5%
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 54% 2.07 +11.7%
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 42% 2.46 +3.3%
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 72% 1.37 -1.7%
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 70% 1.35 -5.7%
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 30% 3.08 -7.5%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 58% 1.52 -12.1%
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 28% 2.95 -17.5%
SAN LORENZO FACTORS
+20% San Lorenzo home form mixed (LWLDW) vs Union away form inconsistent (LDLWD)
CONTEXT
· Data quality severely compromised — treat as weak baseline only, not actionable.
· League standings corrupted (duplicate/nonsensical entries); reliable table position unknown
· Season xG, clean sheets, and goal tallies completely missing — cannot anchor quality analysis
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
Rodrigo Auzmendi
HOM · F · 6g/13
54%
2
Cristian Tarragona
AWY · F · 9g/23
46%
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
3
San Lorenz...
4
Draw
2
Union Sant...
14 Feb 0-0
15 Jun 2-1
25 Feb 1-0
20 Jul 2-2
19 Apr 1-2
📖 Methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.
← Back to match