⚡ AI
1-0 · Velez Sarsfield 78%
81
📊 FULL-TIME STATS
12
SHOTS
11
4
ON TARGET
1
54
POSSESSION %
46
4
CORNERS
4
17
FOULS
13
3
YELLOW CARDS
2
0.89
XG
0.4
437
PASSES
373
⚡ KEY EVENTS
27'
🔄
Leonardo Godoy
Substitution
42'
🟨
Dilan Godoy
Yellow Card
45'+3
🟨
Maximiliano Gutiérrez
Yellow Card
46'
🔄
Matías Abaldo
Substitution
46'
🔄
Lisandro Magallán
Substitution
47'
🟨
Yellow Card
53'
🟨
Santiago Montiel
Yellow Card
57'
🔄
Manuel Lanzini
Substitution
⭐ MAN OF THE MATCH
Joaquín García
7.7
RATING
📋 PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH
Velez Sarsfield
7.7
Joaquín García
7.3
Thiago Aguirre
7.3
Rodrigo Aliendro
Independiente
Juan Fedorco
7.6
Facundo Zabala
7.5
Kevin Lomónaco
7.2
🏆 LEAGUE CONTEXT
1
Independ. Rivadavia
16
34
Independ. Rivadavia
16
34
1
Velez Sarsfield
3
9
Velez Sarsfield
3
9
2
Estudiantes L.P.
16
31
Estudiantes L.P.
16
31
2
River Plate
16
29
River Plate
16
29
2
Independiente
3
6
Independiente
3
6
2
Barracas Central
3
9
Barracas Central
3
9
💬 COMMENTARY
85'
CARD · Yellow Card
Foul
72'
CARD · Yellow Card
Foul
53'
CARD · Yellow Card
Foul
47'
CARD · Yellow Card
Unsportsmanlike conduct
45'
CARD · Yellow Card
Foul
42'
CARD · Yellow Card
Foul
27'
🔄
Leonardo Godoy
Substitution 1
42'
🟨
Dilan Godoy
Yellow Card
45'+3
🟨
Maximiliano Gutiérrez
Yellow Card
46'
🔄
Matías Abaldo
Substitution 2
46'
🔄
Lisandro Magallán
Substitution 1
47'
🟨
Yellow Card
53'
🟨
Santiago Montiel
Yellow Card
57'
🔄
Manuel Lanzini
Substitution 2
57'
🔄
Dilan Godoy
Substitution 3
70'
⚽
Thiago Aguirre
Normal Goal
72'
🟨
Matías Pellegrini
Yellow Card
76'
🔄
Mateo Perez Curci
Substitution 3
76'
🔄
Maximiliano Gutiérrez
Substitution 4
85'
🟨
Simon Escobar
Yellow Card
86'
🔄
Matías Pellegrini
Substitution 4
88'
🔄
Lucas Robertone
Substitution 5
12
SHOTS
11
4
ON TARGET
1
54
POSSESSION %
46
0.89
XG
0.4
4
CORNERS
4
17
FOULS
13
3
YELLOW CARDS
2
12
TOTAL SHOTS
11
4
ON TARGET
1
4
OFF TARGET
8
4
BLOCKED
2
7
INSIDE BOX
5
5
OUTSIDE BOX
6
0.89
XG
0.4
437
TOTAL PASSES
373
337
ACCURATE
281
77
ACCURACY %
75
54
POSSESSION %
46
4
CORNERS
4
2
OFFSIDES
1
2
GK SAVES
2
17
FOULS
13
3
YELLOW CARDS
2
0
RED CARDS
0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN
Velez Sars...
2 sh
Thiago Agu...
1/1
Rodrigo Al...
0/1
Independie...
2 sh
Juan Fedor...
0/1
Facundo Za...
0/1
📈 xG RACE
0.89 – 0.40
Velez Sarsfi...
Independient...
Velez Sarsfield
4-2-3-1
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME · 10 Recent meetings
2
Velez Sarsfi...
4
D Draws
4
Independient...
RECENT MEETINGS
⚡ AI TOP PICK
Velez Sarsfield
PROJECTED: 1-0
78%
CONF 81
WIN PROBABILITY
78%
Velez Sars...
16%
Draw
6%
Independie...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
| MODEL | Velez... | D | Indepe... |
|---|---|---|---|
| POISSON | 53% | 29% | 18% |
| ELO | 92% | 5% | 3% |
| DL | 78% | 16% | 6% |
| FINAL | 78% | 16% | 6% |
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 0
📊 OVER / UNDER
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
12%
OVER 3.5
—
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
8%
YES
92%
NO
💡 KEY FACTORS
Velez 1-0 up at 90'+; Independiente exhausted and out of chances — lock in home win.
1-goal lead in 90th minute with no remaining time — statistical near-certainty
Independiente made 4 subs by 76' (fatigue/desperation) vs Velez's tactical subs late
Velez clean sheet + compact defending despite 2 yellows (discipline maintained)
OVER / UNDER · GOALS
1.5
11 bk
OVER
1.50
UNDER
2.53
2.5
11 bk
OVER
2.52
UNDER
1.48
3.5
11 bk
OVER
5.07
UNDER
1.15
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
YES
2.02
11 bk
NO
1.71
11 bk
ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25
1.68 7bk
Away -0.5
1.50 7bk
Away -0.75
1.33 6bk
Away -1
1.17 6bk
Away -1.25
1.13 4bk
Away -1.5
1.11 6bk
🏟 STADIUM
Jose Amalfitani
Buenos Aires
REFEREE
Leandro Rey Hilfer, Argentina
⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Leandro Rey Hi...
—
VEL... MGR
Guilermo Barro...
head coach
IND... MGR
Gustavo Quinte...
head coach
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
Velez Sars... · 0 OUT
No injuries reported
Independie... · 0 OUT
No injuries reported
KICK-OFFMon, 03 Aug · 22:00
RoundClausura - 3
Season2026
🏟
Jose Amalfitani
Buenos Aires