⚡ AI PREDICTION
TOP PICK
Union Santa Fe
PROJECTED: 1-0
48%
CONF 35
WIN PROBABILITY
48%
Union Sant...
28%
Draw
24%
Lanus
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
42%
31%
27%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
55%
19%
26%
DL
25% WEIGHT
48%
28%
24%
FINAL BLEND
48%
28%
24%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 0
xG 1.10 vs 0.80
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
1-0
0.0%
2
0-0
0.0%
3
1-1
0.0%
4
0-1
0.0%
5
2-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
42%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
38%
BTTS NO
62%
💎 VALUE BETS
HOME to Win
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or AWAY (12)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or Draw (1X)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw or AWAY (X2)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AWAY to Win
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Both Teams Score — YES
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
LANUS FACTORS
+20%
Lanus road form is 0-5 (0 wins) — extreme negative signal if data valid
CONTEXT
·
Data severely corrupted; treat as weak heuristic. Home slight edge on venue only.
·
League standings contain multiple duplicate/impossible entries (players cannot have 120+ pts or 0 GF/GA)
·
Union Santa Fe home form mixed (DLWDD) vs Lanus' disastrous away form creates venue edge, but data quality too poor for confidence
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
66%
Cristian Tarragona
HOM · F · 9g/21
2
34%
Dylan Aquino
AWY · F · 5g/16
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
3
Union Sant...
5
Draw
2
Lanus
29 Jan
2-1
13 Sep
1-1
17 Jun
1-1
03 Jul
3-0
31 Jul
1-1
📖 Methodology
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.