GOALSENSE
📊 FULL-TIME STATS
14 SHOTS 14
3 ON TARGET 5
59 POSSESSION % 41
5 CORNERS 5
15 FOULS 14
1 YELLOW CARDS 1
1.74 XG 1.34
364 PASSES 256
⚡ KEY EVENTS
40' 🟨 Tomás Palacios Yellow Card
45'+1 🟨 Leonardo Godoy Yellow Card
63' 🔄 Matías Abaldo Substitution
72' 🔄 Alexis Castro Substitution
72' 🔄 Joaquín Tobio Burgos Substitution
76' Gabriel Ávalos Normal Goal
81' Guido Carrillo Penalty Goal
82' Santiago Montiel Normal Goal
⭐ MAN OF THE MATCH
Rodrigo Rey
8.3
RATING
📋 PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH
Estudiantes L.P.
8.0 Tomás Palacios
7.5 Joaquín Tobio Burgos
7.3 Brian Aguirre
Independiente
Rodrigo Rey 8.3
Santiago Montiel 8.2
Gabriel Ávalos 7.9
🏆 LEAGUE CONTEXT
1 Estudiantes L.P. 16 31
1 Independ. Rivadavia 16 34
1 Boca Juniors 89 159
2 Independiente 1 3
2 River Plate 16 29
💬 COMMENTARY
45'
CARD · Yellow Card
Foul
40'
CARD · Yellow Card
Unsportsmanlike conduct
40' 🟨
Tomás Palacios
Yellow Card
45'+1 🟨
Leonardo Godoy
Yellow Card
63' 🔄
Matías Abaldo
Substitution 1
72' 🔄
Alexis Castro
Substitution 1
72' 🔄
Joaquín Tobio Burgos
Substitution 2
76'
Gabriel Ávalos
Normal Goal
81'
Guido Carrillo
Missed Penalty
82'
Santiago Montiel
Normal Goal
84' 🔄
Leonardo Godoy
Substitution 2
84' 🔄
Maximiliano Gutiérrez
Substitution 3
85' 🔄
Ramiro Funes Mori
Substitution 3
85' 🔄
Tiago Palacios
Substitution 4
86' 🔄
Ezequiel Piovi
Substitution 5
89' 🔄
Gabriel Ávalos
Substitution 4
14 SHOTS 14
3 ON TARGET 5
59 POSSESSION % 41
1.74 XG 1.34
5 CORNERS 5
15 FOULS 14
1 YELLOW CARDS 1
14 TOTAL SHOTS 14
3 ON TARGET 5
5 OFF TARGET 6
6 BLOCKED 3
11 INSIDE BOX 10
3 OUTSIDE BOX 4
1.74 XG 1.34
364 TOTAL PASSES 256
285 ACCURATE 169
78 ACCURACY % 66
59 POSSESSION % 41
5 CORNERS 5
4 OFFSIDES 1
3 GK SAVES 3
15 FOULS 14
1 YELLOW CARDS 1
0 RED CARDS 0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN
Estudiante... 3 sh
Joaquín To... 0/2
Ezequiel P... 0/1
Independie... 6 sh
Gabriel Áv... 3/3
Santiago M... 1/1
Sebastián... 1/1
Facundo Za... 0/1
📈 xG RACE 1.741.34
1.7 0 0' 90'
Estudiantes... Independient...
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME · 10 Recent meetings
3
Estudiantes...
4
D Draws
3
Independient...
⚡ AI TOP PICK
Estudiantes L.P.
PROJECTED: 1-0
52%
CONF 48
WIN PROBABILITY
52%
Estudiante...
28%
Draw
20%
Independie...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
MODEL Estudi... D Indepe...
POISSON 44% 31% 25%
ELO 60% 19% 21%
DL 52% 28% 20%
FINAL 52% 28% 20%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 0
📊 OVER / UNDER
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
44%
OVER 3.5
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
38%
YES
62%
NO
💡 KEY FACTORS
Estudiantes slight home favourite but data quality is poor; treat with caution.
Estudiantes higher league position (2nd, 31 pts vs 11th, 24 pts) and better GD (+12 vs +4)
Home-form split shows Estudiantes W-L-D-D-W (mixed) and Independiente L-W-L-W-L away (poor)
Severe data gaps: no xG, no clean sheets, no failed-to-score records — confidence capped
OVER / UNDER · GOALS
1.5
OVER
1.59
UNDER
2.32
10 bk
2.5
OVER
2.81
UNDER
1.41
10 bk
3.5
OVER
5.81
UNDER
1.12
10 bk
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
YES
2.27
10 bk
NO
1.57
10 bk
ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.00 7bk
Away -0.5 1.69 8bk
Away -0.75 1.48 6bk
Away -1 1.27 6bk
Away -1.25 1.23 5bk
Away -1.5 1.17 7bk
🏟 STADIUM
Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi
La Plata
REFEREE
P. Dovalo
⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
P. Dovalo
EST... MGR
Alexander Medi...
head coach
IND... MGR
Gustavo Quinte...
head coach
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
Estudiante... · 0 OUT

No injuries reported

Independie... · 0 OUT

No injuries reported

KICK-OFFSun, 26 Jul · 20:15
RoundClausura - 1
Season2026
🏟
Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi
La Plata