⚡ AI
1-1 · San Lorenzo 38%
42
MATCH HIGHLIGHTS
2 Clips
San Lorenzo 1 vs. 2 Independiente - Game Highlights | #TorneoApertura2026
YouTube ↗
Liga Profesional Argentina: San Lorenzo de Almagro vs Independiente
youtube · Liga Profesional de Fútbol de la AFA
📊 FULL-TIME STATS
25
SHOTS
13
7
ON TARGET
5
106
POSSESSION %
94
7
CORNERS
4
13
FOULS
19
3
YELLOW CARDS
4
463
PASSES
345
⚡ KEY EVENTS
8'
🟨
Milton Valenzuela
Yellow Card
16'
⚽
Matías Abaldo
Normal Goal
20'
🟨
Alexis Cuello
Yellow Card
39'
🟨
Manuel Insaurralde
Yellow Card
41'
🟨
Kevin Lomónaco
Yellow Card
46'
🔄
Facundo Gulli
Substitution
46'
🔄
Mathias de Ritis
Substitution
54'
⚽
Maximiliano Gutiérrez
Normal Goal
⭐ MAN OF THE MATCH
Rodrigo Rey
8.3
RATING
📋 PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH
San Lorenzo
7.3
Matias Reali
7.2
Nicolás Tripichio
7.2
Nahuel Barrios
Independiente
Rodrigo Rey
8.3
Maximiliano Gutiérrez
8.3
Matías Abaldo
7.5
🏆 LEAGUE CONTEXT
5
Belgrano Cordoba
16
26
Belgrano Cordoba
16
26
5
Independiente
16
24
Independiente
16
24
6
Lanus
16
24
Lanus
16
24
6
Rosario Central
89
141
Rosario Central
89
141
7
San Lorenzo
16
22
San Lorenzo
16
22
7
Huracan
16
22
Huracan
16
22
8'
🟨
Milton Valenzuela
Yellow Card
16'
⚽
Matías Abaldo
Normal Goal
20'
🟨
Alexis Cuello
Yellow Card
39'
🟨
Manuel Insaurralde
Yellow Card
41'
🟨
Kevin Lomónaco
Yellow Card
46'
🔄
Facundo Gulli
Substitution 1
46'
🔄
Mathias de Ritis
Substitution 2
54'
⚽
Maximiliano Gutiérrez
Normal Goal
65'
🔄
Iván Marcone
Substitution 1
65'
🔄
Santiago Montiel
Substitution 2
72'
⚽
Ezequiel Herrera
Normal Goal
80'
🔄
Matias Reali
Substitution 3
80'
🔄
Maximiliano Gutiérrez
Substitution 3
80'
🔄
Kevin Lomónaco
Substitution 4
81'
🔄
Manuel Insaurralde
Substitution 4
89'
🔄
Gabriel Ávalos
Substitution 5
90'
🟨
Sebastián Valdez
Yellow Card
90'+3
🟨
Alexis Cuello
Yellow Card
90'+3
🟥
Alexis Cuello
Red Card
25
SHOTS
13
7
ON TARGET
5
106
POSSESSION %
94
0
XG
0
7
CORNERS
4
13
FOULS
19
3
YELLOW CARDS
4
25
TOTAL SHOTS
13
7
ON TARGET
5
10
OFF TARGET
3
8
BLOCKED
5
0
INSIDE BOX
0
0
OUTSIDE BOX
0
0
XG
0
463
TOTAL PASSES
345
0
ACCURATE
0
385
ACCURACY %
264
106
POSSESSION %
94
7
CORNERS
4
19
OFFSIDES
17
3
GK SAVES
6
13
FOULS
19
3
YELLOW CARDS
4
1
RED CARDS
0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN
San Lorenz...
8 sh
Rodrigo Au...
2/3
Nicolás Tr...
2/2
Matias Rea...
0/1
Nahuel Bar...
1/1
Ezequiel H...
1/1
Independie...
4 sh
Maximilian...
1/2
Matías Aba...
2/2
San Lorenzo
3-5-2
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME · 9 Recent meetings
1
San Lorenzo
6
D Draws
2
Independient...
RECENT MEETINGS
⚡ AI TOP PICK
San Lorenzo
PROJECTED: 1-1
38%
CONF 42
WIN PROBABILITY
38%
San Lorenz...
32%
Draw
30%
Independie...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
| MODEL | San Lo... | D | Indepe... |
|---|---|---|---|
| POISSON | 36% | 31% | 33% |
| ELO | 43% | 23% | 34% |
| DL | 38% | 32% | 30% |
| FINAL | 38% | 32% | 30% |
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 1
📊 OVER / UNDER
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
38%
OVER 3.5
—
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
48%
YES
52%
NO
💡 KEY FACTORS
Even matchup with marginal home edge; bookmaker odds slightly undervalue San Lorenzo at home.
San Lorenzo home form (DWLWL) is poor — only 1W in last 5 at Bidegain
Independiente's road form (LWDLD) equally weak — minimal away-form advantage
Nearly identical recent xG trends and goal differential (both 13 GF, 12 GA / 22 GF, 19 GA) suggest close contest
OVER / UNDER · GOALS
1.5
9 bk
OVER
1.59
UNDER
2.31
2.5
8 bk
OVER
2.82
UNDER
1.40
3.5
8 bk
OVER
5.63
UNDER
1.12
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
YES
2.15
8 bk
NO
1.64
8 bk
ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25
1.45 7bk
Away -0.5
1.33 6bk
Away -0.75
1.20 6bk
Away -1
1.08 3bk
Away -1.25
1.07 3bk
Away -1.5
1.07 4bk
🏟 STADIUM
Pedro Bidegain
Buenos Aires
REFEREE
Pablo Dovalo, Argentina
⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Pablo Dovalo,...
—
SAN... MGR
Gustavo Alvare...
head coach
IND... MGR
Gustavo Quinte...
head coach
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
San Lorenz... · 0 OUT
No injuries reported
Independie... · 0 OUT
No injuries reported
KICK-OFFSat, 02 May · 21:45
RoundRegular Season - 9
Season2026
🏟
Pedro Bidegain
Buenos Aires