GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
Sukhothai FC
Sun, 10 May · 11:00
Thai Premier League
Muangthong United
TOP PICK
Sukhothai FC
PROJECTED: 1-1
42%
CONF 48
WIN PROBABILITY
42%
Sukhothai...
28%
Draw
30%
Muangthong...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
37% 31% 32%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
48% 19% 33%
DL 25% WEIGHT
42% 28% 30%
FINAL BLEND
42% 28% 30%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 1
xG 1.05 vs 0.95
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 1-0
0.0%
2 0-0
0.0%
3 1-1
0.0%
4 0-1
0.0%
5 2-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
54%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YES
60%
BTTS NO
40%
💎 VALUE BETS
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 42% 2.54 +6.6%
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 70% 1.48 +3.3%
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 28% 3.34 -6.4%
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 60% 1.54 -7.8%
Over 2.5 Goals
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 54% 1.67 -9.8%
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 72% 1.25 -10.0%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 58% 1.44 -16.5%
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 30% 2.42 -27.4%
📈 SPORTMONKS PREDICTIONS
CONTEXT
· Evenly matched mid-table sides; slight home edge from form split (LWWWW at home vs DLDLL away) offset by away team's superior league position.
· Sukhothai strong home form (LWWWW last 5) vs Muangthong weak away form (DLDLL) — home edge ~5–7%
· League position nearly identical (14th vs 13th, 25 vs 26 pts) with poor goal differentials both sides
· SportMonks model (39% home, 35% away, 26% draw) close to bookmaker consensus; BTTS at 58–60% reasonable given both teams' offensive capability
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
2
Sukhothai...
0
Draw
8
Muangthong...
16 Aug 1-0
02 Feb 1-3
15 Sep 4-2
04 May 5-0
12 Dec 1-2
📖 Methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.
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