GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
Rayong FC
Sun, 10 May · 11:00
Thai Premier League
Bangkok United
TOP PICK
Bangkok United
PROJECTED: 1-1
42%
CONF 68
WIN PROBABILITY
20%
Rayong FC
38%
Draw
42%
Bangkok Un...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
30% 31% 39%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
22% 30% 49%
DL 25% WEIGHT
20% 38% 42%
FINAL BLEND
20% 38% 42%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 1
xG 0.91 vs 1.09
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 0-1
0.0%
2 0-0
0.0%
3 1-1
0.0%
4 1-0
0.0%
5 0-2
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
45%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YES
62%
BTTS NO
38%
💎 VALUE BETS
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 38% 3.80 +44.3%
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 58% 2.08 +20.6%
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 62% 1.55 -4.1%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 80% 1.16 -7.1%
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 20% 4.40 -12.0%
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 62% 1.19 -26.3%
Over 2.5 Goals
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 45% 1.56 -29.9%
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 42% 1.62 -31.9%
📈 SPORTMONKS PREDICTIONS
BANGKOK UNITED FACTORS
+20% Bangkok United superior: 5th place vs 9th, +11 goal differential, stronger away form (DLLWW)
CONTEXT
· 1-1 tied at 90' (near full-time) strongly favours draw; Bangkok's superior quality and away form edge suggests away win in ET/PKs.
· Match at 90' — 1-1 tie makes draw most likely outcome (38%)
· Rayong's recent form struggling (LWDLL); Bangkok's recent form also weak but quality gap favours away
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
T. Dangda
AWY · 6g/7
39%
2
M. Al Ghassani
AWY · 8g/13
28%
3
S. Junior
HOM · 9g/27
15%
4
A. Amornlertsak
HOM · 5g/20
11%
5
R. Živković
AWY · 6g/36
8%
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
1
Rayong FC
1
Draw
3
Bangkok Un...
17 Aug 3-2
07 Feb 2-2
22 Sep 0-3
21 Mar 4-1
19 Dec 1-0
📖 Methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.
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