GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
Lamphun Warrior
Sun, 03 May · 12:00
Thai Premier League
Chiangrai United
TOP PICK
Lamphun Warrior
PROJECTED: 1-1
48%
CONF 44
WIN PROBABILITY
48%
Lamphun Wa...
28%
Draw
24%
Chiangrai...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
40% 31% 30%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
55% 19% 26%
DL 25% WEIGHT
48% 28% 24%
FINAL BLEND
48% 28% 24%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 1
xG 1.10 vs 0.90
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 1-0
0.0%
2 0-0
0.0%
3 1-1
0.0%
4 0-1
0.0%
5 2-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
52%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YES
54%
BTTS NO
46%
💎 VALUE BETS
AWAY to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 24% 4.94 +18.5%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 52% 2.13 +10.6%
Draw
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 28% 3.59 +0.6%
Both Teams Score — YES
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 54% 1.83 -1.2%
Over 2.5 Goals
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 52% 1.89 -1.8%
HOME or AWAY (12)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 72% 1.20 -13.3%
HOME or Draw (1X)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 76% 1.13 -14.3%
HOME to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 48% 1.60 -23.1%
📈 SPORTMONKS PREDICTIONS
CONTEXT
· Weak home form and poor defensive record undermine Lamphun; Chiangrai's away struggles offset table position — lean draw.
· Lamphun's home form DW + poor GA record (46 conceded) vs Chiangrai's away form WDLLL (4 losses in 5)
· Table gap (8th vs 12th, 9 pts) overstated by Lamphun's GD (-12) and Chiangrai's GD (-2)
· BookMaker home odds 59% likely reflect table position, not form splits; SportMonks 44% home aligns with weaker signal
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
I. Enomoto
AWY · 6g/28
50%
2
Willen Mota
HOM · 6g/28
50%
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
3
Lamphun Wa...
2
Draw
3
Chiangrai...
13 Dec 1-1
23 Feb 1-0
04 Oct 2-0
24 Feb 0-2
23 Sep 2-1
📖 Methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.
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