⚡ AI PREDICTION
TOP PICK
Ratchaburi
PROJECTED: 2-1
58%
CONF 52
WIN PROBABILITY
58%
Ratchaburi
24%
Draw
18%
Rayong FC
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
68%
19%
13%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
68%
14%
18%
DL
25% WEIGHT
58%
24%
18%
FINAL BLEND
58%
24%
18%
PREDICTED SCORE
2 - 1
xG 2.16 vs 0.84
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
2-0
0.0%
2
1-0
0.0%
3
2-1
0.0%
4
1-1
0.0%
5
3-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
58%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
58%
BTTS NO
42%
💎 VALUE BETS
Draw or AWAY (X2)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AWAY to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Both Teams Score — YES
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Over 2.5 Goals
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or Draw (1X)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or AWAY (12)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
📈 SPORTMONKS PREDICTIONS
RATCHABURI FACTORS
+30%
Home advantage + superior league position favour Ratchaburi, but poor home form (LWLLD) and Rayong's 1-goal loss streak temper conviction.
+25%
Ratchaburi 3rd place (53 pts) vs Rayong 7th (36 pts) — 17-point gap in quality
+20%
Ratchaburi home form is weak (LWLLD); only 1 win in 5 at Dragon Solar Park
CONTEXT
·
Rayong on a 4-match road winless streak (LDLLL) — limited away threat
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
29%
Denilson Junior
HOM · 10g/25
2
24%
S. Junior
AWY · 9g/27
3
18%
A. Amornlertsak
AWY · 5g/20
4
18%
N. Rakotoharimalala
HOM · 6g/25
5
11%
Tana
HOM · 4g/28
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
7
Ratchaburi
0
Draw
0
Rayong FC
16 Dec
2-4
22 Feb
1-4
05 Oct
2-0
03 Mar
0-3
24 Oct
3-0
📖 Methodology
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.