GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
Prachuap
Sun, 03 May · 11:00
Thai Premier League
Uthai Thani
TOP PICK
Prachuap
PROJECTED: 2-1
52%
CONF 48
WIN PROBABILITY
52%
Prachuap
28%
Draw
20%
Uthai Than...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
66% 20% 14%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
60% 19% 21%
DL 25% WEIGHT
52% 28% 20%
FINAL BLEND
52% 28% 20%
PREDICTED SCORE
2 - 1
xG 2.13 vs 0.87
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 2-0
0.0%
2 1-0
0.0%
3 2-1
0.0%
4 1-1
0.0%
5 3-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
48%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YES
54%
BTTS NO
46%
💎 VALUE BETS
Draw
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 28% 3.77 +5.6%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 48% 2.18 +4.7%
AWAY to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 20% 4.85 -3.0%
Both Teams Score — YES
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 54% 1.73 -6.8%
HOME or Draw (1X)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 80% 1.13 -9.4%
HOME or AWAY (12)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 72% 1.20 -13.9%
Over 2.5 Goals
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 48% 1.74 -16.7%
HOME to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 52% 1.58 -17.9%
📈 SPORTMONKS PREDICTIONS
PRACHUAP FACTORS
+30% Prachuap slight home favourite but uneven form and Uthai's away inconsistency keep this close; draw is live.
+25% Prachuap home form WDWWL mixed; Uthai away form LWLDW shows 3 losses in last 5 road games
+15% Recent form diverges: Prachuap WWDDD (stabilizing) vs Uthai DLWLW (volatile); bookmaker home odds 60.2% appear overpriced given form volatility
CONTEXT
· League table gap (6th vs 11th, +11 pts) suggests home edge, but xG data absent — limits conviction
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
E. Mendez
HOM · 6g/20
30%
2
M. Eisa
AWY · 9g/30
30%
3
Bruno Baio
AWY · 7g/27
26%
4
B. Davis
AWY · 4g/29
14%
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
3
Prachuap
2
Draw
3
Uthai Than...
13 Dec 4-0
09 Mar 3-1
27 Oct 3-0
30 Mar 2-2
22 Oct 1-2
📖 Methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.
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