⚡ AI PREDICTION
TOP PICK
St. Louis City
PROJECTED: 1-1
48%
CONF 54
WIN PROBABILITY
48%
St. Louis...
27%
Draw
25%
Houston Dy...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
39%
31%
30%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
55%
18%
27%
DL
25% WEIGHT
48%
27%
25%
FINAL BLEND
48%
27%
25%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 1
xG 1.09 vs 0.91
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
1-0
0.0%
2
0-0
0.0%
3
1-1
0.0%
4
0-1
0.0%
5
2-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
52%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
58%
BTTS NO
42%
💎 VALUE BETS
HOME to Win
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or Draw (1X)
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Both Teams Score — YES
8 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or AWAY (12)
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Over 2.5 Goals
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw or AWAY (X2)
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AWAY to Win
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
CONTEXT
·
Houston's table position and away form edge are offset by St. Louis' strong home record; slight home lean in a competitive matchup.
·
Houston 2nd in table (+6 pts, better GD) but undefeated away form (WWDLW) shows some vulnerability
·
St. Louis home form DWWWW solid, recent overall form WDWWW competitive with Houston's WWWWD
·
No key injuries on either side; both teams at full strength — no tactical edge
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
100%
Guilherme
AWY · 12g/20
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
3
St. Louis...
3
Draw
3
Houston Dy...
31 Aug
2-3
29 Jun
1-0
06 Oct
3-0
05 May
0-0
17 Sep
1-1
📖 Methodology
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.