GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
Sporting Kansas City
Thu, 20 Aug · 00:00
Major League Soccer
St. Louis City
TOP PICK
St. Louis City
PROJECTED: 1-2
44%
CONF 58
WIN PROBABILITY
32%
Sporting K...
24%
Draw
44%
St. Louis...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
17% 21% 63%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
36% 14% 50%
DL 25% WEIGHT
32% 24% 44%
FINAL BLEND
32% 24% 44%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 2
xG 0.95 vs 2.05
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 0-2
0.0%
2 0-1
0.0%
3 1-2
0.0%
4 1-1
0.0%
5 0-3
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
62%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YES
68%
BTTS NO
32%
💎 VALUE BETS
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 32% 3.77 +20.6%
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 56% 1.92 +7.6%
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 68% 1.50 +1.7%
Over 2.5 Goals
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 62% 1.53 -4.9%
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 24% 3.91 -6.2%
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 76% 1.22 -7.1%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 68% 1.25 -15.0%
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 44% 1.84 -19.1%
ST. LOUIS CITY FACTORS
+30% St. Louis City's league position, form, and H2H edge outweigh home advantage; expect away win.
CONTEXT
· St. Louis 9 pts clear, 6th vs 15th; 27 GF vs 18 GF, 25 GA vs 48 GA — massive quality gap
· SKC home form weak (LWLWD); STL away form strong (WWDWL) — split favours visitors
· H2H: STL won 3 of last 5 (including 3-2, 3-1 away); SKC won only once (2-0 at home)
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
Dejan Joveljić
HOM · F · 8g/17
100%
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
3
Sporting K...
3
Draw
3
St. Louis...
17 Jul 3-2
15 May 2-2
06 Apr 2-0
29 Sep 3-1
21 Jul 1-1
📖 Methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.
← Back to match