GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
Philadelphia Union
Wed, 19 Aug · 23:30
Major League Soccer
Inter Miami
TOP PICK
Draw
PROJECTED: 2-2
48%
CONF 62
WIN PROBABILITY
28%
Philadelph...
48%
Draw
24%
Inter Miam...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
40% 21% 39%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
32% 41% 27%
DL 25% WEIGHT
28% 48% 24%
FINAL BLEND
28% 48% 24%
PREDICTED SCORE
2 - 2
xG 2.02 vs 1.98
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 2-1
0.0%
2 1-1
0.0%
3 2-2
0.0%
4 1-2
0.0%
5 3-1
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
78%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YES
95%
BTTS NO
5%
💎 VALUE BETS
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 48% 4.08 +95.8%
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 95% 1.33 +26.0%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 72% 1.60 +14.9%
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 76% 1.47 +11.6%
Over 2.5 Goals
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 78% 1.33 +4.1%
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 28% 2.30 -35.7%
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 52% 1.21 -36.9%
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 24% 2.59 -37.7%
INTER MIAMI FACTORS
+20% Inter Miami (2nd place) has superior season quality but Philadelphia holding at home
CONTEXT
· Tied 2-2 at 88' with 2 minutes left — draw is most likely; neither team has momentum for late winner.
· Only 2 minutes remaining; tied scoreline strongly favours draw outcome
· Both teams have substituted heavily (5 total); tired legs unlikely to produce late breakthrough
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
Lionel Messi
AWY · F · 13g/16
37%
2
Luis Suárez
AWY · F · 9g/13
32%
3
Milan Iloski
HOM · F · 10g/19
24%
4
Germán Berterame
AWY · 7g/15
6%
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
2
Philadelph...
2
Draw
6
Inter Miam...
24 May 6-4
24 May 3-3
29 Mar 2-1
14 Sep 3-1
15 Jun 1-2
📖 Methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.
← Back to match