⚡ AI PREDICTION
TOP PICK
New York City FC
PROJECTED: 2-1
72%
CONF 76
WIN PROBABILITY
72%
New York C...
18%
Draw
10%
Philadelph...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
71%
18%
11%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
84%
7%
8%
DL
25% WEIGHT
72%
18%
10%
FINAL BLEND
72%
18%
10%
PREDICTED SCORE
2 - 1
xG 2.25 vs 0.75
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
2-0
0.0%
2
1-0
0.0%
3
2-1
0.0%
4
3-0
0.0%
5
1-1
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
68%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
72%
BTTS NO
28%
💎 VALUE BETS
HOME to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or Draw (1X)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Over 2.5 Goals
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Both Teams Score — YES
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or AWAY (12)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw or AWAY (X2)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AWAY to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
CONTEXT
·
NYCFC lead 2-1 with 35 minutes remaining; Union's weak away form and season-long defensive fragility make holding on highly likely.
·
1-goal lead at 55' with Union conceding 33 GA (worst in league)
·
Union's away form (LLLLD) vs NYCFC's home form (DWWLD) — stark split
·
Union yellow-card accumulation (3 in first half) limits aggressive comeback play
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
71%
Milan Iloski
AWY · F · 10g/19
2
29%
Nicolás Fernández
HOM · 13g/18
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
4
New York C...
0
Draw
6
Philadelph...
01 Mar
1-2
24 Nov
0-1
04 Oct
1-0
12 Apr
1-0
18 Sep
1-5
📖 Methodology
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.