GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
San Jose Earthquakes
Sun, 16 Aug · 02:30
Major League Soccer
St. Louis City
TOP PICK
St. Louis City
PROJECTED: 1-3
95%
CONF 88
WIN PROBABILITY
2%
San Jose E...
3%
Draw
95%
St. Louis...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
4% 9% 88%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
1% 1% 98%
DL 25% WEIGHT
2% 3% 95%
FINAL BLEND
2% 3% 95%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 3
xG 0.63 vs 3.37
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 0-3
0.0%
2 0-2
0.0%
3 0-4
0.0%
4 1-3
0.0%
5 0-5
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
92%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YES
88%
BTTS NO
12%
💎 VALUE BETS
AWAY to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 95% 3.10 +194.3%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 98% 1.71 +67.3%
Over 2.5 Goals
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 92% 1.47 +34.9%
Both Teams Score — YES
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 88% 1.43 +25.5%
HOME or AWAY (12)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 97% 1.24 +19.9%
Draw
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 3% 3.79 -88.6%
HOME or Draw (1X)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 5% 1.34 -93.3%
HOME to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 2% 2.08 -95.8%
ST. LOUIS CITY FACTORS
+30% St. Louis City 2-goal lead at 90'; match is over. Lock away win.
+20% St. Louis City defensive control throughout; San Jose unable to mount late pressure
CONTEXT
· 90' with 3-1 lead — <2% comeback probability in 1 minute remaining
· Current scoreline is final; 4 goals already scored confirms BTTS and Over 2.5
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
Preston Judd
HOM · 11g/18
57%
2
O. Bouda
HOM · 5g/11
43%
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
2
San Jose E...
0
Draw
6
St. Louis...
26 Apr 2-3
21 Sep 1-3
31 May 2-1
22 Sep 1-2
04 Jul 2-0
📖 Methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.
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