GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
Colorado Rapids
Sun, 16 Aug · 01:30
Major League Soccer
Sporting Kansas City
TOP PICK
Colorado Rapids
PROJECTED: 1-0
88%
CONF 82
WIN PROBABILITY
88%
Colorado R...
10%
Draw
2%
Sporting K...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
56% 28% 15%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
98% 1% 1%
DL 25% WEIGHT
88% 10% 2%
FINAL BLEND
88% 10% 2%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 0
xG 1.34 vs 0.56
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 1-0
0.0%
2 0-0
0.0%
3 2-0
0.0%
4 1-1
0.0%
5 0-1
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
18%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YES
8%
BTTS NO
92%
💎 VALUE BETS
HOME to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 88% 1.46 +28.3%
HOME or Draw (1X)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 98% 1.12 +9.7%
HOME or AWAY (12)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 90% 1.16 +4.3%
Draw
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 10% 4.69 -53.1%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 12% 2.64 -68.4%
Over 2.5 Goals
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 18% 1.45 -73.9%
Both Teams Score — YES
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 8% 1.56 -87.5%
AWAY to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 2% 5.99 -88.0%
CONTEXT
· Colorado 1-0 up with 0 minutes remaining; match effectively over. Home win lock-in.
· 1-goal lead at 90' (full-time whistle imminent — no time for comeback)
· SKC has created minimal threat (xG context + few clear chances late)
· Colorado defensive shape tightened in final 10 min with substitutions
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
Rafael Navarro
HOM · 9g/18
52%
2
Dejan Joveljić
AWY · 8g/17
49%
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
4
Colorado R...
2
Draw
4
Sporting K...
22 Mar 1-4
31 Aug 4-2
05 Jul 1-2
19 Sep 4-1
05 Jul 2-1
📖 Methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.
← Back to match