TOP PICK
FC Dallas
PROJECTED: 1-2
74%
CONF 81
WIN PROBABILITY
8%
Austin
18%
Draw
74%
FC Dallas
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
11%
17%
72%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
6%
7%
87%
DL
25% WEIGHT
8%
18%
74%
FINAL BLEND
8%
18%
74%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 2
xG 0.74 vs 2.26
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
0-2
0.0%
2
0-1
0.0%
3
0-3
0.0%
4
1-2
0.0%
5
1-1
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
72%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
88%
BTTS NO
12%
💎 VALUE BETS
AWAY to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Both Teams Score — YES
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw or AWAY (X2)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Over 2.5 Goals
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or AWAY (12)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or Draw (1X)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AUSTIN FACTORS
+15%
H2H favours Dallas (3W-0-2L vs Austin); Dallas positioned 7th vs Austin 14th
CONTEXT
·
FC Dallas 2-1 up with 2 minutes left; Austin needs miracle. Lock in away win.
·
One-goal deficit in 88th minute — statistically <10% comeback likelihood
·
FC Dallas defensive substitutions (85') show game management; Austin depleted (5 subs used)
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
100%
Petar Musa
AWY · F · 14g/17
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
3
Austin
2
Draw
5
FC Dallas
14 Sep
2-0
17 Aug
1-1
18 Jul
3-1
12 May
2-1
31 Mar
2-1
📖 Methodology
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.