GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
Toronto FC
Sat, 15 Aug · 23:30
Major League Soccer
New England Revolution
TOP PICK
Toronto FC
PROJECTED: 2-0
96%
CONF 89
WIN PROBABILITY
96%
Toronto FC
3%
Draw
1%
New Englan...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
79% 15% 6%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
98% 1% 1%
DL 25% WEIGHT
96% 3% 1%
FINAL BLEND
96% 3% 1%
PREDICTED SCORE
2 - 0
xG 2.38 vs 0.52
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 2-0
0.0%
2 1-0
0.0%
3 3-0
0.0%
4 2-1
0.0%
5 4-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
8%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YES
5%
BTTS NO
95%
💎 VALUE BETS
HOME to Win
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 96% 2.01 +93.1%
HOME or Draw (1X)
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 99% 1.30 +28.7%
HOME or AWAY (12)
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 97% 1.25 +21.1%
Over 2.5 Goals
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 8% 1.65 -86.8%
Draw
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 3% 3.71 -88.9%
Both Teams Score — YES
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 5% 1.56 -92.2%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 4% 1.76 -92.9%
AWAY to Win
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 1% 3.37 -96.6%
CONTEXT
· Toronto 2-0 up with 3 minutes left; New England unable to breach despite 11v10 spell — lock in home win.
· 2-goal lead at 87' with only 3 minutes remaining — statistically near-certain
· Toronto held firm after 76' red card; New England substitutions ineffective
· New England's weak away form (DLDWL) + poor road GA (32 in 17 pts) evident throughout
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
2
Toronto FC
5
Draw
3
New Englan...
22 Jul 0-0
13 Sep 1-1
03 May 0-2
20 Apr 1-0
03 Mar 0-1
📖 Methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.
← Back to match