GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
Atlanta United FC
Sat, 15 Aug · 23:30
Major League Soccer
New York Red Bulls
TOP PICK
Atlanta United FC
PROJECTED: 2-1
92%
CONF 86
WIN PROBABILITY
92%
Atlanta Un...
6%
Draw
2%
New York R...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
76% 16% 8%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
98% 1% 1%
DL 25% WEIGHT
92% 6% 2%
FINAL BLEND
92% 6% 2%
PREDICTED SCORE
2 - 1
xG 2.36 vs 0.64
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 2-0
0.0%
2 1-0
0.0%
3 3-0
0.0%
4 2-1
0.0%
5 1-1
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
88%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YES
90%
BTTS NO
10%
💎 VALUE BETS
HOME to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 92% 2.01 +84.9%
HOME or Draw (1X)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 98% 1.33 +30.4%
Over 2.5 Goals
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 88% 1.41 +24.4%
Both Teams Score — YES
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 90% 1.37 +23.4%
HOME or AWAY (12)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 94% 1.22 +14.9%
Draw
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 6% 3.94 -76.4%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 8% 1.77 -85.9%
AWAY to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 2% 3.21 -93.6%
CONTEXT
· Atlanta 2-1 up at 90' with minimal time remaining — home win is near-certain.
· 1-goal lead at minute 90 (full-time imminent) — only injury-time comeback possible
· Atlanta's recent goal at 82' maintains fresh attacking momentum; NYRB third substitution (86') signals fatigue
· H2H favours Atlanta at home (2 wins in last 5 overall, both at home)
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
Julian Hall
AWY · 9g/18
35%
2
J. Ruvalcaba
AWY · 7g/15
33%
3
Aleksei Miranchuk
HOM · 5g/11
32%
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
3
Atlanta Un...
3
Draw
4
New York R...
31 May 2-0
09 Mar 0-0
05 Oct 2-1
21 Sep 2-2
24 Jun 4-0
📖 Methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.
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