GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
St. Louis City
Sun, 02 Aug · 00:30
Major League Soccer
Real Salt Lake
TOP PICK
Draw
PROJECTED: 1-1
48%
CONF 61
WIN PROBABILITY
28%
St. Louis...
48%
Draw
24%
Real Salt...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
35% 31% 34%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
32% 41% 27%
DL 25% WEIGHT
28% 48% 24%
FINAL BLEND
28% 48% 24%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 1
xG 1.02 vs 0.98
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 1-0
0.0%
2 0-0
0.0%
3 1-1
0.0%
4 0-1
0.0%
5 2-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
22%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YES
68%
BTTS NO
32%
💎 VALUE BETS
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 48% 3.85 +84.9%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 72% 1.81 +30.6%
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 68% 1.45 -1.7%
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 76% 1.29 -1.8%
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 24% 3.42 -17.8%
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 52% 1.23 -35.9%
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 28% 1.95 -45.3%
Over 2.5 Goals
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 22% 1.49 -67.3%
CONTEXT
· Tied at 90' with minimal time left; draw is most likely. Both defences holding firm late.
· 1-1 at minute 90 with essentially no time remaining — draw heavily favoured
· RSL's poor away form (LLDLL) prevented capitalising on St. Louis weakness
· Both teams traded goals but neither found breakthrough in final stages
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
Sergi Solans
AWY · F · 6g/13
77%
2
Zavier Gozo
AWY · 6g/13
23%
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
1
St. Louis...
4
Draw
3
Real Salt...
19 Oct 2-2
06 Jul 3-2
31 Mar 3-1
25 Feb 1-1
22 Jun 1-3
📖 Methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.
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