GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
Sporting Kansas City
Sun, 02 Aug · 00:30
Major League Soccer
Houston Dynamo
TOP PICK
Houston Dynamo
PROJECTED: 0-2
95%
CONF 88
WIN PROBABILITY
2%
Sporting K...
3%
Draw
95%
Houston Dy...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
7% 15% 79%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
1% 1% 98%
DL 25% WEIGHT
2% 3% 95%
FINAL BLEND
2% 3% 95%
PREDICTED SCORE
0 - 2
xG 0.53 vs 2.37
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 0-2
0.0%
2 0-1
0.0%
3 0-3
0.0%
4 1-2
0.0%
5 0-4
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
8%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YES
5%
BTTS NO
95%
💎 VALUE BETS
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 95% 2.15 +104.1%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 98% 1.34 +31.5%
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 97% 1.26 +22.6%
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 8% 1.63 -87.0%
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 3% 3.56 -89.3%
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 5% 1.67 -91.6%
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 5% 1.52 -92.4%
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 2% 3.14 -93.7%
CONTEXT
· Houston 2-0 up with 0 minutes remaining; match effectively over — lock Away Win.
· 90' scoreline 0-2 Houston — mathematically near-certain win
· SKC bottom-half team (15th, -26 GD) vs Houston (5th, -1 GD); quality mismatch confirmed live
· SKC 0 shots on target in 90 min; Houston clinical finishing (2 goals from limited chances)
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
Dejan Joveljić
HOM · F · 8g/17
59%
2
Guilherme
AWY · M · 10g/17
41%
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
3
Sporting K...
4
Draw
3
Houston Dy...
19 Oct 0-0
01 Jun 1-3
12 May 1-2
25 Feb 1-1
27 Nov 1-0
📖 Methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.
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