GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
FC Cincinnati
Sat, 01 Aug · 23:30
Major League Soccer
San Jose Earthquakes
TOP PICK
FC Cincinnati
PROJECTED: 1-1
48%
CONF 44
WIN PROBABILITY
48%
FC Cincinn...
27%
Draw
25%
San Jose E...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
39% 31% 30%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
55% 18% 27%
DL 25% WEIGHT
48% 27% 25%
FINAL BLEND
48% 27% 25%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 1
xG 1.09 vs 0.91
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 1-0
0.0%
2 0-0
0.0%
3 1-1
0.0%
4 0-1
0.0%
5 2-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
62%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YES
68%
BTTS NO
32%
💎 VALUE BETS
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 27% 4.21 +13.6%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 52% 1.91 -0.9%
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 75% 1.29 -3.3%
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 48% 1.86 -10.6%
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 73% 1.20 -12.3%
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 68% 1.29 -12.6%
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 25% 3.48 -13.1%
Over 2.5 Goals
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 62% 1.27 -21.1%
CONTEXT
· 0-0 at 12' in a tightly matched contest; slight home edge, but SJ's superior table position (3rd vs 7th) keeps this competitive.
· San Jose 3rd place (33 pts, +15 GD) vs Cincinnati 7th (23 pts, -1 GD) — quality gap favors away
· Cincinnati home form WWLWD mixed; SJ away form WLDWW — both inconsistent, no edge
· H2H divergent: SJ won 2024, lost heavily 2022 — no pattern; early scoreline 0-0 typical of tight matches
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
Preston Judd
AWY · F · 11g/17
28%
2
Kévin Denkey
HOM · F · 11g/17
28%
3
Evander
HOM · F · 10g/17
25%
4
Ousseni Bouda
AWY · F · 5g/11
20%
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
2
FC Cincinn...
1
Draw
1
San Jose E...
16 Jun 2-4
10 Sep 6-0
05 May 1-0
📖 Methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.
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