GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
New York Red Bulls
Sat, 01 Aug · 23:30
Major League Soccer
Orlando City SC
TOP PICK
New York Red Bulls
PROJECTED: 3-2
88%
CONF 83
WIN PROBABILITY
88%
New York R...
9%
Draw
3%
Orlando Ci...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
69% 14% 16%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
98% 1% 1%
DL 25% WEIGHT
88% 9% 3%
FINAL BLEND
88% 9% 3%
PREDICTED SCORE
3 - 2
xG 3.34 vs 1.66
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 3-1
0.0%
2 2-1
0.0%
3 4-1
0.0%
4 3-2
0.0%
5 2-2
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
92%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YES
94%
BTTS NO
6%
💎 VALUE BETS
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 88% 2.29 +101.3%
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 97% 1.44 +39.5%
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 94% 1.29 +21.5%
Over 2.5 Goals
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 92% 1.31 +20.1%
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 91% 1.22 +11.3%
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 9% 4.01 -63.9%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 12% 1.60 -80.8%
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 3% 2.65 -92.1%
CONTEXT
· NYRB hold 1-goal lead with 0 minutes remaining — match finishing 3-2, lock in home win.
· Minute 90' with NYRB up 3-2 — zero realistic time for Orlando comeback
· Orlando yellow card 88' suggests fatigue/desperation, not momentum
· NYRB substitutions 75' and 85' = defensive consolidation (protecting 1-goal lead)
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
Julian Hall
HOM · F · 9g/18
58%
2
Martín Ojeda
AWY · 11g/15
26%
3
Jorge Ruvalcaba
HOM · 7g/15
16%
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
4
New York R...
3
Draw
3
Orlando Ci...
22 Feb 1-2
12 Apr 0-0
15 Mar 2-2
01 Dec 0-1
01 Jun 1-0
📖 Methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.
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