GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
Sporting Kansas City
Thu, 23 Jul · 00:30
Major League Soccer
Minnesota United FC
TOP PICK
Sporting Kansas City
PROJECTED: 2-1
88%
CONF 84
WIN PROBABILITY
88%
Sporting K...
10%
Draw
2%
Minnesota...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
75% 16% 9%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
98% 1% 1%
DL 25% WEIGHT
88% 10% 2%
FINAL BLEND
88% 10% 2%
PREDICTED SCORE
2 - 1
xG 2.34 vs 0.66
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 2-0
0.0%
2 1-0
0.0%
3 3-0
0.0%
4 2-1
0.0%
5 1-1
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
78%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YES
92%
BTTS NO
8%
💎 VALUE BETS
HOME to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 88% 3.18 +179.5%
HOME or Draw (1X)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 98% 1.74 +70.3%
Both Teams Score — YES
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 92% 1.48 +36.3%
Over 2.5 Goals
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 78% 1.54 +20.5%
HOME or AWAY (12)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 90% 1.24 +12.0%
Draw
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 10% 3.76 -62.4%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 12% 1.32 -84.1%
AWAY to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 2% 2.08 -95.8%
CONTEXT
· SKC leading 2-1 at 90'; match at full-time with minimal stoppage expected — home win near-certain.
· 1-goal lead in final minute — statistical win probability >85%
· SKC defensive discipline maintained through second half
· Minnesota pressing late yielded goal at 75' but insufficient time for equalizer
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
Kelvin Yeboah
AWY · F · 8g/14
55%
2
Dejan Joveljić
HOM · F · 8g/17
45%
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
4
Sporting K...
1
Draw
5
Minnesota...
05 Oct 3-0
16 Mar 3-3
22 Sep 0-2
02 Jun 3-1
28 Apr 2-1
📖 Methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.
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