GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
Philadelphia Union
Wed, 22 Jul · 23:30
Major League Soccer
New York Red Bulls
TOP PICK
Philadelphia Union
PROJECTED: 3-1
97%
CONF 88
WIN PROBABILITY
97%
Philadelph...
2%
Draw
1%
New York R...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
88% 8% 4%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
98% 1% 1%
DL 25% WEIGHT
97% 2% 1%
FINAL BLEND
97% 2% 1%
PREDICTED SCORE
3 - 1
xG 3.38 vs 0.62
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 3-0
0.0%
2 2-0
0.0%
3 4-0
0.0%
4 3-1
0.0%
5 5-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
92%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YES
95%
BTTS NO
5%
💎 VALUE BETS
HOME to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 97% 1.73 +67.5%
Both Teams Score — YES
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 95% 1.47 +39.9%
Over 2.5 Goals
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 92% 1.46 +34.4%
HOME or Draw (1X)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 99% 1.21 +19.5%
HOME or AWAY (12)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 98% 1.20 +18.0%
Draw
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 2% 4.16 -91.7%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 3% 2.09 -93.7%
AWAY to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 1% 4.15 -95.9%
CONTEXT
· Philadelphia 3-1 up with 0 minutes remaining — match effectively over, lock home win.
· Match at minute 90 (full-time): Philadelphia holds 2-goal lead with no time for comeback
· Red Bulls received 3 yellow cards in final 13 minutes (88', 85', 77'), indicating frustration/defensive collapse
· Philadelphia's 4 substitutions (85') suggest manager securing result; no VAR controversy evident in event log
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
Milan Iloski
HOM · F · 9g/17
35%
2
Julian Hall
AWY · F · 9g/17
35%
3
Jorge Ruvalcaba
AWY · F · 7g/15
31%
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
6
Philadelph...
3
Draw
1
New York R...
16 Aug 1-0
12 Jul 2-0
31 Aug 0-2
06 Jul 0-0
03 Sep 4-1
📖 Methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.
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