GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
Columbus Crew
Wed, 22 Jul · 23:30
Major League Soccer
New York City FC
TOP PICK
New York City FC
PROJECTED: 0-2
95%
CONF 88
WIN PROBABILITY
2%
Columbus C...
3%
Draw
95%
New York C...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
7% 15% 79%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
1% 1% 98%
DL 25% WEIGHT
2% 3% 95%
FINAL BLEND
2% 3% 95%
PREDICTED SCORE
0 - 2
xG 0.53 vs 2.37
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 0-2
0.0%
2 0-1
0.0%
3 0-3
0.0%
4 1-2
0.0%
5 0-4
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
8%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YES
5%
BTTS NO
95%
💎 VALUE BETS
AWAY to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 95% 3.76 +257.6%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 98% 1.85 +80.8%
HOME or AWAY (12)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 97% 1.26 +22.1%
Over 2.5 Goals
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 8% 1.83 -85.3%
Draw
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 3% 3.63 -89.1%
Both Teams Score — YES
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 5% 1.70 -91.5%
HOME or Draw (1X)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 5% 1.25 -93.7%
HOME to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 2% 1.93 -96.1%
CONTEXT
· NYCFC leading 2–0 with 1 minute left; Columbus comeback is statistically impossible.
· 2-goal deficit at 89' with only 1 minute remaining — <2% comeback probability
· NYCFC dominant in H2H (3 wins in last 5, including 3-0 away and 3-2 away this season)
· Columbus' home form (WLWWW) insufficient to overcome late two-goal hole
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
Nicolás Fernández
AWY · M · 11g/16
64%
2
Wessam Abou Ali
HOM · 5g/7
36%
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
3
Columbus C...
4
Draw
3
New York C...
10 May 3-0
17 Sep 3-2
22 Mar 0-0
31 Aug 4-2
14 Jun 2-3
📖 Methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.
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