GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
St. Louis City
Fri, 17 Jul · 00:30
Major League Soccer
Sporting Kansas City
TOP PICK
Draw
PROJECTED: 2-2
48%
CONF 58
WIN PROBABILITY
38%
St. Louis...
48%
Draw
14%
Sporting K...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
43% 21% 36%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
44% 41% 15%
DL 25% WEIGHT
38% 48% 14%
FINAL BLEND
38% 48% 14%
PREDICTED SCORE
2 - 2
xG 2.10 vs 1.90
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 2-1
0.0%
2 1-1
0.0%
3 2-2
0.0%
4 1-2
0.0%
5 3-1
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
72%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YES
88%
BTTS NO
12%
💎 VALUE BETS
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 48% 4.87 +133.9%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 62% 2.70 +67.2%
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 88% 1.51 +32.9%
Over 2.5 Goals
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 72% 1.38 -1.0%
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 86% 1.12 -4.0%
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 14% 6.08 -14.9%
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 52% 1.15 -40.0%
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 38% 1.43 -45.5%
CONTEXT
· Tied at 84′ with 6 min remaining; draw is the most likely outcome. Late home surge possible but slim.
· 2–2 tie with only 6 minutes left — stalemate heavily favoured over either team scoring next
· St. Louis home form (WWLLL) weakens expectation of late winner despite home advantage
· SKC away form (WLLLW) and recent yellow card (78′) suggest defensive resilience holds
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
Dejan Joveljić
AWY · F · 8g/17
100%
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
2
St. Louis...
3
Draw
4
Sporting K...
15 May 2-2
06 Apr 2-0
29 Sep 3-1
21 Jul 1-1
21 Apr 3-3
📖 Methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.
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