GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
CF Montreal
Thu, 16 Jul · 23:30
Major League Soccer
Toronto FC
TOP PICK
CF Montreal
PROJECTED: 0-0
38%
CONF 68
WIN PROBABILITY
38%
CF Montrea...
38%
Draw
24%
Toronto FC
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
37% 33% 31%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
44% 30% 26%
DL 25% WEIGHT
38% 38% 24%
FINAL BLEND
38% 38% 24%
PREDICTED SCORE
0 - 0
xG 0.96 vs 0.84
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 0-0
0.0%
2 1-0
0.0%
3 0-1
0.0%
4 1-1
0.0%
5 2-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
22%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YES
28%
BTTS NO
72%
💎 VALUE BETS
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 38% 3.56 +35.3%
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 76% 1.40 +6.3%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 62% 1.59 -1.6%
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 38% 2.31 -12.1%
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 62% 1.26 -21.6%
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 24% 2.85 -31.5%
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 28% 1.50 -57.9%
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 22% 1.62 -64.4%
CONTEXT
· Goalless stalemate at 86' with 4 minutes remaining; draw heavily favoured; either team scoring now highly unlikely.
· 4 minutes left at 0-0 with no high-xG chances visible — scoreline very likely to hold
· Montreal home form strong (LDWWW) but cannot break down Toronto's defensive shape late
· Toronto's road form (LLDDD) fits a defensive, low-scoring result; multiple substitutions suggest fatigue
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
Prince-Osei Owusu
HOM · 10g/17
100%
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
4
CF Montrea...
3
Draw
3
Toronto FC
30 Aug 1-1
17 May 1-6
20 Jul 0-1
18 May 5-1
20 Aug 2-3
📖 Methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.
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