GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
Portland Timbers
Sun, 24 May · 01:30
Major League Soccer
San Jose Earthquakes
TOP PICK
San Jose Earthquakes
PROJECTED: 1-3
95%
CONF 88
WIN PROBABILITY
2%
Portland T...
3%
Draw
95%
San Jose E...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
4% 9% 88%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
1% 1% 98%
DL 25% WEIGHT
2% 3% 95%
FINAL BLEND
2% 3% 95%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 3
xG 0.63 vs 3.37
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 0-3
0.0%
2 0-2
0.0%
3 0-4
0.0%
4 1-3
0.0%
5 0-5
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
92%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YES
88%
BTTS NO
12%
💎 VALUE BETS
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 95% 2.51 +138.2%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 98% 1.52 +49.0%
Over 2.5 Goals
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 92% 1.34 +23.1%
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 97% 1.23 +19.2%
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 88% 1.31 +15.5%
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 3% 3.92 -88.2%
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 5% 1.50 -92.5%
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 2% 2.44 -95.1%
CONTEXT
· San Jose 3-1 up at 90' with 10 men remaining — Portland cannot score twice in injury time.
· 3-goal lead at final whistle (90') — mathematical elimination of comeback
· San Jose yellow card (85') shows defensive discipline under pressure
· Portland's 13th-place form (LDWLW) vs SJ's 2nd-place dominance (GD +17) confirms scoreline
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
Preston Judd
AWY · F · 11g/15
75%
2
Ousseni Bouda
AWY · M · 5g/11
25%
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
5
Portland T...
1
Draw
4
San Jose E...
14 Jun 1-1
04 May 4-1
20 Jun 1-2
16 May 4-2
21 Sep 2-1
📖 Methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.
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