⚡ AI PREDICTION
TOP PICK
St. Louis City
PROJECTED: 1-1
52%
CONF 48
WIN PROBABILITY
52%
St. Louis...
26%
Draw
22%
Austin
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
41%
31%
28%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
60%
16%
23%
DL
25% WEIGHT
52%
26%
22%
FINAL BLEND
52%
26%
22%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 1
xG 1.12 vs 0.88
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
1-0
0.0%
2
0-0
0.0%
3
1-1
0.0%
4
0-1
0.0%
5
2-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
54%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
58%
BTTS NO
42%
💎 VALUE BETS
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Over 2.5 Goals
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AUSTIN FACTORS
+30%
Evenly matched on quality; home form split favours St. Louis slightly but Austin's recent W-W run complicates. Draw is live.
+20%
St. Louis home form WLLLW suggests unreliability; Austin away form LDLDL equally poor
+15%
H2H volatile: 2-0 Austin (May 2026), 3-1 St. Louis (Oct 2025) — recent Austin win recent
CONTEXT
·
Season points nearly identical (13 vs 14); GF/GA similar — quality gap minimal
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
20%
Owen Wolff
AWY · F · 0g/1
2
20%
Christian Ramirez
AWY · F · 0g/1
3
20%
Eduard Löwen
HOM · F · 0g/1
4
20%
Simon Becher
HOM · F · 0g/1
5
20%
Marcel Hartel
HOM · F · 0g/1
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
5
St. Louis...
1
Draw
1
Austin
03 May
2-0
05 Oct
1-3
30 Mar
0-1
14 Apr
1-0
10 Mar
2-2
📖 Methodology
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.