GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
Nashville SC
Mon, 18 May · 00:00
Major League Soccer
Los Angeles FC
TOP PICK
Nashville SC
PROJECTED: 3-2
92%
CONF 86
WIN PROBABILITY
92%
Nashville...
6%
Draw
2%
Los Angele...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
70% 14% 16%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
98% 1% 1%
DL 25% WEIGHT
92% 6% 2%
FINAL BLEND
92% 6% 2%
PREDICTED SCORE
3 - 2
xG 3.36 vs 1.64
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 3-1
0.0%
2 2-1
0.0%
3 4-1
0.0%
4 3-2
0.0%
5 2-2
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
94%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YES
96%
BTTS NO
4%
💎 VALUE BETS
HOME to Win
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 92% 2.18 +100.6%
Over 2.5 Goals
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 94% 1.74 +63.2%
Both Teams Score — YES
8 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 96% 1.58 +51.8%
HOME or Draw (1X)
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 98% 1.33 +30.6%
HOME or AWAY (12)
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 94% 1.27 +19.3%
Draw
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 6% 3.48 -79.1%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 8% 1.66 -86.7%
AWAY to Win
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 2% 3.15 -93.7%
📈 SPORTMONKS PREDICTIONS
CONTEXT
· Nashville leading 3-2 with just 2 minutes left; LAFC cannot recover from a 1-goal deficit in stoppage time.
· 88' with 1-goal lead: only 2 minutes remain; historical comeback rate <2%
· Nashville home strength (DWWLW) + league-leading position (1st, 27 pts)
· LAFC already poor on road (LDWWD) and trailing with numerical pressure
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
Hany Mukhtar
HOM · F · 6g/13
55%
2
S. Surridge
HOM · 9g/7
46%
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
1
Nashville...
1
Draw
2
Los Angele...
24 Mar 5-0
23 Apr 1-1
09 Oct 0-1
18 Jul 1-2
📖 Methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.
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