GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
San Jose Earthquakes
Sun, 17 May · 02:30
Major League Soccer
FC Dallas
TOP PICK
Draw
PROJECTED: 2-2
48%
CONF 72
WIN PROBABILITY
38%
San Jose E...
48%
Draw
14%
FC Dallas
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
43% 21% 36%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
44% 41% 15%
DL 25% WEIGHT
38% 48% 14%
FINAL BLEND
38% 48% 14%
PREDICTED SCORE
2 - 2
xG 2.10 vs 1.90
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 2-1
0.0%
2 1-1
0.0%
3 2-2
0.0%
4 1-2
0.0%
5 3-1
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
92%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YES
94%
BTTS NO
6%
💎 VALUE BETS
Draw
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 48% 3.79 +82.0%
Over 2.5 Goals
8 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 92% 1.49 +37.2%
Both Teams Score — YES
8 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 94% 1.43 +34.7%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 62% 1.83 +13.2%
HOME or Draw (1X)
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 86% 1.28 +10.1%
HOME to Win
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 38% 1.95 -25.8%
HOME or AWAY (12)
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 52% 1.23 -36.1%
AWAY to Win
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 14% 3.49 -51.1%
CONTEXT
· Tied 2-2 at 90' with barely any time left — draw is overwhelming favourite; extra time possible.
· Dead heat at full-time whistle (90') — only 0 minutes remain
· H2H pattern (3 of 5 recent meetings were 2-2 or 1-goal finishes) suggests tight matches
· Both teams trading goals late (SJ goal 81', Dallas subs at 84') — momentum even
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
Petar Musa
AWY · F · 11g/12
49%
2
Preston Judd
HOM · F · 9g/13
37%
3
Ousseni Bouda
HOM · M · 5g/11
13%
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
2
San Jose E...
6
Draw
2
FC Dallas
17 Jul 2-2
26 Jun 2-4
03 Oct 3-2
25 Feb 2-1
08 Oct 1-1
📖 Methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.
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