GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
Austin
Sun, 17 May · 00:30
Major League Soccer
Sporting Kansas City
TOP PICK
Austin
PROJECTED: 2-1
62%
CONF 54
WIN PROBABILITY
62%
Austin
22%
Draw
16%
Sporting K...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
69% 19% 13%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
72% 12% 16%
DL 25% WEIGHT
62% 22% 16%
FINAL BLEND
62% 22% 16%
PREDICTED SCORE
2 - 1
xG 2.18 vs 0.82
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 2-0
0.0%
2 1-0
0.0%
3 2-1
0.0%
4 1-1
0.0%
5 3-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
62%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YES
58%
BTTS NO
42%
💎 VALUE BETS
Draw
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 22% 4.49 -1.2%
HOME or Draw (1X)
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 84% 1.15 -3.3%
HOME to Win
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 62% 1.54 -4.5%
HOME or AWAY (12)
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 78% 1.18 -8.0%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 38% 2.40 -9.0%
Over 2.5 Goals
8 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 62% 1.43 -11.1%
Both Teams Score — YES
8 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 58% 1.51 -12.3%
AWAY to Win
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 16% 5.24 -16.2%
📈 SPORTMONKS PREDICTIONS
AUSTIN FACTORS
+30% Austin favoured at home but SKC's desperate position and poor away form limit conviction; draw risk elevated.
+25% Austin 14 pts vs SKC 8 pts; Austin home form WWDLW is solid despite recent mixed results
CONTEXT
· SKC on road form LLLWL is dire (4 losses in 5); SKC -22 GD indicates structural weakness
· Bookmaker odds (65.8% home) slightly optimistic — SKC's league position and away record justify modest discount
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
Dejan Joveljić
AWY · F · 6g/13
100%
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
6
Austin
0
Draw
3
Sporting K...
07 Sep 1-2
23 Feb 1-0
30 Jun 2-0
19 May 3-2
16 Jul 2-1
📖 Methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.
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