GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
Orlando City SC
Sat, 16 May · 23:30
Major League Soccer
Atlanta United FC
TOP PICK
Orlando City SC
PROJECTED: 1-1
48%
CONF 44
WIN PROBABILITY
48%
Orlando Ci...
26%
Draw
26%
Atlanta Un...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
39% 31% 30%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
55% 16% 28%
DL 25% WEIGHT
48% 26% 26%
FINAL BLEND
48% 26% 26%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 1
xG 1.09 vs 0.91
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 1-0
0.0%
2 0-0
0.0%
3 1-1
0.0%
4 0-1
0.0%
5 2-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
58%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YES
62%
BTTS NO
38%
💎 VALUE BETS
HOME to Win
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 48% 2.12 +1.8%
HOME or Draw (1X)
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 74% 1.35 -0.2%
Draw
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 26% 3.74 -2.6%
HOME or AWAY (12)
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 74% 1.24 -8.6%
Both Teams Score — YES
8 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 62% 1.42 -12.0%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 52% 1.69 -12.0%
Over 2.5 Goals
8 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 58% 1.47 -15.0%
AWAY to Win
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 26% 3.06 -20.4%
📈 SPORTMONKS PREDICTIONS
CONTEXT
· Evenly matched mid-table teams; slight home edge but Atlanta's road resilience (WLWDD) keeps this competitive.
· Orlando home form WWLWL mixed; Atlanta away form WLWDD shows defensive solidity
· Goal differential favors Orlando (+17 GA vs ATL -7 GA) but both teams inconsistent (form W/L/W/L)
· Bookmaker odds imply Home 46.5% vs AI 48% — marginal deviation; SportMonks 40.7% home seems underweighting home advantage
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
Martín Ojeda
HOM · F · 9g/13
60%
2
Aleksey Miranchuk
AWY · F · 5g/11
40%
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
3
Orlando Ci...
2
Draw
4
Atlanta Un...
28 May 3-2
26 Apr 3-0
24 Nov 1-0
20 Oct 1-2
17 Mar 2-0
📖 Methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.
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