GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
Philadelphia Union
Sat, 16 May · 23:30
Major League Soccer
Columbus Crew
TOP PICK
Philadelphia Union
PROJECTED: 1-1
42%
CONF 48
WIN PROBABILITY
42%
Philadelph...
30%
Draw
28%
Columbus C...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
38% 31% 32%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
48% 21% 31%
DL 25% WEIGHT
42% 30% 28%
FINAL BLEND
42% 30% 28%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 1
xG 1.06 vs 0.94
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 1-0
0.0%
2 0-0
0.0%
3 1-1
0.0%
4 0-1
0.0%
5 2-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
52%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YES
58%
BTTS NO
42%
💎 VALUE BETS
Draw
31 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 30% 3.52 +5.5%
HOME or Draw (1X)
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 72% 1.40 +0.8%
HOME to Win
31 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 42% 2.35 -1.2%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 58% 1.57 -8.9%
HOME or AWAY (12)
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 70% 1.27 -11.3%
Both Teams Score — YES
15 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 58% 1.53 -11.5%
Over 2.5 Goals
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 52% 1.69 -12.2%
AWAY to Win
31 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 28% 2.76 -22.6%
📈 SPORTMONKS PREDICTIONS
CONTEXT
· Early in first half with no shots yet; form and H2H suggest tight, low-scoring affair with draw/away upset risk.
· Philadelphia home form mediocre (DDWDD) vs Columbus away form poor (LLLLD) — cancels home edge
· H2H lopsided toward Columbus (won 3 of last 5); recent 2-0 away win shows dominance
· Early kickoff state (2 min) — minimal predictive signal; lean on season context: Philadelphia bottom-half struggling (15th, -10 GD), Columbus mid-table (13th, -4 GD)
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
W. Abou Ali
AWY · 5g/7
100%
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
1
Philadelph...
4
Draw
5
Columbus C...
25 Apr 2-0
29 Jun 1-0
10 May 2-2
05 Oct 3-2
28 Aug 0-1
📖 Methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.
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