GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
Seattle Sounders
Thu, 14 May · 01:30
Major League Soccer
San Jose Earthquakes
TOP PICK
Draw
PROJECTED: 2-2
52%
CONF 68
WIN PROBABILITY
28%
Seattle So...
52%
Draw
20%
San Jose E...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
41% 21% 38%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
32% 46% 22%
DL 25% WEIGHT
28% 52% 20%
FINAL BLEND
28% 52% 20%
PREDICTED SCORE
2 - 2
xG 2.03 vs 1.97
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 2-1
0.0%
2 1-1
0.0%
3 2-2
0.0%
4 1-2
0.0%
5 3-1
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
78%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YES
92%
BTTS NO
8%
💎 VALUE BETS
Draw
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 52% 3.91 +103.1%
Both Teams Score — YES
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 92% 1.53 +40.4%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 72% 1.93 +39.0%
Over 2.5 Goals
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 78% 1.58 +23.4%
HOME or Draw (1X)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 80% 1.24 -0.8%
AWAY to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 20% 3.81 -23.7%
HOME or AWAY (12)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 48% 1.23 -41.2%
HOME to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 28% 1.84 -48.5%
CONTEXT
· Tied 2-2 at 89' in a high-intensity derby; draw is strong favourite with late goals possible.
· Only 1 minute plus stoppage remaining — stalemate nearly locked; draw ~50%
· BTTS already confirmed (2-2 scoreline); over 2.5 at 78% reflects match flow
· Both teams evenly matched in form (DDWWW each) and recent H2H (2-2 in Sept 2024)
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
Preston Judd
AWY · F · 8g/12
60%
2
Ousseni Bouda
AWY · F · 5g/11
41%
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
2
Seattle So...
4
Draw
4
San Jose E...
15 Mar 0-1
20 Jul 3-2
30 Mar 1-1
19 Sep 2-2
24 Mar 3-2
📖 Methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.
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