GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
Minnesota United FC
Thu, 14 May · 00:30
Major League Soccer
Colorado Rapids
TOP PICK
Colorado Rapids
PROJECTED: 0-1
74%
CONF 88
WIN PROBABILITY
8%
Minnesota...
18%
Draw
74%
Colorado R...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
19% 30% 52%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
6% 7% 87%
DL 25% WEIGHT
8% 18% 74%
FINAL BLEND
8% 18% 74%
PREDICTED SCORE
0 - 1
xG 0.64 vs 1.26
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 0-1
0.0%
2 0-0
0.0%
3 1-1
0.0%
4 0-2
0.0%
5 1-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
12%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YES
8%
BTTS NO
92%
💎 VALUE BETS
AWAY to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 74% 4.44 +228.7%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 92% 2.09 +92.1%
HOME or AWAY (12)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 82% 1.22 -0.1%
Draw
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 18% 3.93 -29.3%
HOME or Draw (1X)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 26% 1.19 -69.0%
Over 2.5 Goals
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 12% 1.59 -80.9%
HOME to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 8% 1.71 -86.3%
Both Teams Score — YES
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 8% 1.57 -87.5%
📈 SPORTMONKS PREDICTIONS
CONTEXT
· Colorado 1-0 up at 90'; Minnesota need to score in added time with 3 yellows already. Away win near-certain.
· 1-goal lead with <2 minutes to play — statistical win probability >92%
· Minnesota already 3 yellows (82', 84'); limited aggressive late push
· Colorado's away form (LLDWL) irrelevant — they have the lead and minutes are gone
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
Rafael Navarro
AWY · F · 7g/12
50%
2
Kelvin Yeboah
HOM · F · 7g/12
50%
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
5
Minnesota...
2
Draw
3
Colorado R...
28 Sep 1-1
10 Aug 1-2
29 Sep 3-0
26 May 3-3
31 Aug 3-0
📖 Methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.
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