GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
CF Montreal
Wed, 13 May · 23:30
Major League Soccer
Portland Timbers
TOP PICK
CF Montreal
PROJECTED: 2-2
48%
CONF 62
WIN PROBABILITY
48%
CF Montrea...
38%
Draw
14%
Portland T...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
45% 21% 35%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
56% 30% 14%
DL 25% WEIGHT
48% 38% 14%
FINAL BLEND
48% 38% 14%
PREDICTED SCORE
2 - 2
xG 2.14 vs 1.86
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 2-1
0.0%
2 1-1
0.0%
3 2-2
0.0%
4 1-2
0.0%
5 3-1
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
72%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YES
85%
BTTS NO
15%
💎 VALUE BETS
Draw
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 38% 3.76 +43.0%
Both Teams Score — YES
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 85% 1.48 +25.4%
HOME or Draw (1X)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 86% 1.29 +10.9%
Over 2.5 Goals
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 72% 1.53 +10.2%
HOME to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 48% 1.97 -5.3%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 52% 1.80 -6.6%
HOME or AWAY (12)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 62% 1.24 -23.3%
AWAY to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 14% 3.42 -52.1%
📈 SPORTMONKS PREDICTIONS
CONTEXT
· Tied at 86' with 4 minutes remaining; draw most likely but Montreal slight edge from home pressure.
· 2-2 at minute 86 — only 4 minutes for a winner; draw strong favorite
· Montreal's home form (WWWLD) gives marginal late-pressure edge over Portland's road form (LWLLL)
· Both teams already scored twice — BTTS highly likely; <2.5 goals now impossible
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
Prince Owusu
HOM · F · 6g/11
100%
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
5
CF Montrea...
2
Draw
2
Portland T...
07 Oct 4-1
26 Jun 2-1
22 Jul 2-2
20 May 4-1
14 Jul 1-1
📖 Methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.
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