GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
New York Red Bulls
Wed, 13 May · 23:30
Major League Soccer
Columbus Crew
TOP PICK
New York Red Bulls
PROJECTED: 3-2
88%
CONF 84
WIN PROBABILITY
88%
New York R...
10%
Draw
2%
Columbus C...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
70% 14% 16%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
98% 1% 1%
DL 25% WEIGHT
88% 10% 2%
FINAL BLEND
88% 10% 2%
PREDICTED SCORE
3 - 2
xG 3.34 vs 1.66
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 3-1
0.0%
2 2-1
0.0%
3 4-1
0.0%
4 3-2
0.0%
5 2-2
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
92%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YES
94%
BTTS NO
6%
💎 VALUE BETS
HOME to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 88% 2.90 +155.0%
HOME or Draw (1X)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 98% 1.65 +61.2%
Over 2.5 Goals
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 92% 1.47 +35.2%
Both Teams Score — YES
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 94% 1.42 +33.9%
HOME or AWAY (12)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 90% 1.24 +11.7%
Draw
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 10% 3.80 -62.0%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 12% 1.38 -83.4%
AWAY to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 2% 2.18 -95.6%
📈 SPORTMONKS PREDICTIONS
CONTEXT
· Red Bulls lead 3-2 with 3 minutes remaining; away comeback statistically <2% — lock in home win.
· 1-goal lead in 87' (3 min to play) with established advantage
· Red Bulls made 3 fresh substitutions at 65' to manage closing — tactical control confirmed
· Crew's yellow card (71') reduces late aggression; Red Bulls' substitution pattern shows intent to close out
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
Julian Hall
HOM · F · 6g/12
70%
2
W. Abou Ali
AWY · 5g/7
30%
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
2
New York R...
2
Draw
5
Columbus C...
18 Oct 3-1
30 Aug 0-0
03 Nov 2-2
29 Oct 0-1
20 Oct 2-3
📖 Methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.
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