⚡ AI PREDICTION
TOP PICK
Charlotte
PROJECTED: 1-1
44%
CONF 48
WIN PROBABILITY
44%
Charlotte
28%
Draw
28%
New York C...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
38%
31%
31%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
51%
19%
31%
DL
25% WEIGHT
44%
28%
28%
FINAL BLEND
44%
28%
28%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 1
xG 1.06 vs 0.94
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
1-0
0.0%
2
0-0
0.0%
3
1-1
0.0%
4
0-1
0.0%
5
2-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
52%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
58%
BTTS NO
42%
💎 VALUE BETS
HOME to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or Draw (1X)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Both Teams Score — YES
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or AWAY (12)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Over 2.5 Goals
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw or AWAY (X2)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AWAY to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
📈 SPORTMONKS PREDICTIONS
CHARLOTTE FACTORS
+30%
Evenly matched teams on identical points; Charlotte's home form weakness and NYCFC's strong away record suggest draw or away upset.
+25%
Charlotte home form DLLLW vs NYCFC away form LWWWL — significant split favors visitors
+15%
H2H asymmetry: NYCFC won 2/4 completed; recent Charlotte home win (2-1) suggests competitiveness but small sample
CONTEXT
·
Identical league position (8th/7th, 15 pts each) with nearly balanced GF/GA
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
70%
Nicolás Fernández
AWY · F · 9g/14
2
30%
Pep Biel
HOM · M · 7g/14
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
4
Charlotte
2
Draw
4
New York C...
18 Apr
1-2
08 Nov
1-3
01 Nov
0-0
28 Oct
0-1
20 Sep
2-0
📖 Methodology
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.