⚡ AI PREDICTION
TOP PICK
Minnesota United FC
PROJECTED: 2-1
78%
CONF 79
WIN PROBABILITY
78%
Minnesota...
18%
Draw
4%
Austin
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
73%
17%
10%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
92%
7%
1%
DL
25% WEIGHT
78%
18%
4%
FINAL BLEND
78%
18%
4%
PREDICTED SCORE
2 - 1
xG 2.30 vs 0.70
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
2-0
0.0%
2
1-0
0.0%
3
3-0
0.0%
4
2-1
0.0%
5
1-1
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
72%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
82%
BTTS NO
18%
💎 VALUE BETS
Both Teams Score — YES
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Over 2.5 Goals
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or Draw (1X)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or AWAY (12)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw or AWAY (X2)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AWAY to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
📈 SPORTMONKS PREDICTIONS
AUSTIN FACTORS
+30%
Minnesota 1-goal lead with 12 minutes left; strong xG momentum (goal at 69') and Austin defensive vulnerability (4 subs depleted squad) favour home hold-on.
+20%
Austin made 4 substitutions by 70' signalling desperation; midfield weakened for final push
+15%
Minnesota's home-venue control + Austin's poor away record (LDLDL) make comeback unlikely
CONTEXT
·
1-goal lead at 78' with sustained Minnesota pressure (goal just 9 mins ago)
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
100%
Kelvin Yeboah
HOM · F · 7g/12
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
3
Minnesota...
2
Draw
5
Austin
22 Feb
2-2
25 May
1-1
04 May
0-3
23 Jun
0-1
25 Feb
1-2
📖 Methodology
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.