GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
Charlotte
Sat, 09 May · 23:30
Major League Soccer
FC Cincinnati
TOP PICK
Charlotte
PROJECTED: 1-1
48%
CONF 48
WIN PROBABILITY
48%
Charlotte
24%
Draw
28%
FC Cincinn...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
39% 31% 30%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
55% 14% 31%
DL 25% WEIGHT
48% 24% 28%
FINAL BLEND
48% 24% 28%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 1
xG 1.08 vs 0.92
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 1-0
0.0%
2 0-0
0.0%
3 1-1
0.0%
4 0-1
0.0%
5 2-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
62%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YES
62%
BTTS NO
38%
💎 VALUE BETS
HOME to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 48% 2.14 +2.6%
HOME or Draw (1X)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 72% 1.36 -2.2%
HOME or AWAY (12)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 76% 1.24 -5.5%
Over 2.5 Goals
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 62% 1.49 -7.6%
Draw
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 24% 3.72 -10.7%
Both Teams Score — YES
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 62% 1.44 -10.9%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 52% 1.67 -13.1%
AWAY to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 28% 3.00 -15.9%
📈 SPORTMONKS PREDICTIONS
CHARLOTTE FACTORS
+30% Even match on quality; Charlotte's poor home form (LLLWD) weighs despite slight table edge; draw is live.
+25% Charlotte home form collapsed (LLLWD) vs Cincinnati's mixed away record (WDLWL)
CONTEXT
· Table positions close (7th vs 6th, 1-pt gap); goal differential near-identical (−1 vs −3)
· SportMonks slightly favours home (50.6%), but bookmaker odds (45.2% implied) reflect uncertainty
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
Kévin Denkey
AWY · F · 7g/11
53%
2
Evander
AWY · M · 6g/11
25%
3
Pep Biel
HOM · M · 6g/12
23%
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
4
Charlotte
2
Draw
2
FC Cincinn...
10 Aug 0-1
15 Mar 2-0
13 Jul 1-3
30 Mar 1-1
23 Sep 3-0
📖 Methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.
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