GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
New York City FC
Sun, 03 May · 19:00
Major League Soccer
DC United
TOP PICK
DC United
PROJECTED: 0-2
95%
CONF 92
WIN PROBABILITY
2%
New York C...
3%
Draw
95%
DC United
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
7% 15% 79%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
1% 1% 98%
DL 25% WEIGHT
2% 3% 95%
FINAL BLEND
2% 3% 95%
PREDICTED SCORE
0 - 2
xG 0.53 vs 2.37
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 0-2
0.0%
2 0-1
0.0%
3 0-3
0.0%
4 1-2
0.0%
5 0-4
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
8%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YES
5%
BTTS NO
95%
💎 VALUE BETS
AWAY to Win
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 95% 4.48 +325.8%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 98% 2.02 +97.9%
HOME or AWAY (12)
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 97% 1.24 +20.5%
Over 2.5 Goals
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 8% 1.88 -85.0%
Draw
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 3% 3.69 -88.9%
Both Teams Score — YES
8 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 5% 1.77 -91.1%
HOME or Draw (1X)
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 5% 1.19 -94.1%
HOME to Win
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 2% 1.77 -96.5%
📈 SPORTMONKS PREDICTIONS
DC UNITED FACTORS
+30% DC United 2-0 up with 0 minutes remaining — match is effectively over; lock away win.
+25% Full-time whistle imminent (90'+0); DC United 2-goal lead insurmountable
+20% NYCFC 0 shots on target, DC United controlled second half after 75' penalty
CONTEXT
· NYCFC defensive collapse evident in late substitutions (81') and yellow card (80')
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
Nicolás Fernández
HOM · F · 8g/11
76%
2
T. Baribo
AWY · 6g/8
24%
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
5
New York C...
2
Draw
3
DC United
30 Aug 1-2
14 May 0-0
14 Sep 1-1
20 Apr 2-0
07 Oct 2-0
📖 Methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.
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