GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
New England Revolution
Sat, 02 May · 23:30
Major League Soccer
Charlotte
TOP PICK
New England Revolution
PROJECTED: 2-1
48%
CONF 52
WIN PROBABILITY
48%
New Englan...
26%
Draw
26%
Charlotte
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
64% 20% 15%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
55% 16% 28%
DL 25% WEIGHT
48% 26% 26%
FINAL BLEND
48% 26% 26%
PREDICTED SCORE
2 - 1
xG 2.09 vs 0.91
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 2-0
0.0%
2 1-0
0.0%
3 2-1
0.0%
4 1-1
0.0%
5 3-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
56%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YES
58%
BTTS NO
42%
💎 VALUE BETS
HOME to Win
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 48% 2.18 +4.7%
HOME or Draw (1X)
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 74% 1.35 -0.3%
HOME or AWAY (12)
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 74% 1.26 -6.4%
Draw
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 26% 3.58 -6.9%
Over 2.5 Goals
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 56% 1.65 -7.8%
Both Teams Score — YES
8 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 58% 1.53 -11.3%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 52% 1.66 -13.9%
AWAY to Win
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 26% 3.07 -20.1%
📈 SPORTMONKS PREDICTIONS
CHARLOTTE FACTORS
+30% Slight home edge on quality and venue, but Charlotte's road resilience and even goal differential keep this competitive; expect tight 2-1 or draw.
+20% Charlotte's road form (LLWDL) shows vulnerability but not complete collapse — mixed results
CONTEXT
· New England slight quality edge (4th vs 5th, +5 GD) and home advantage at Gillette
· Nearly identical season GF (17 vs 18) and GA (12 vs 18); xG unavailable, limiting confidence
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
Pep Biel
AWY · M · 5g/11
100%
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
5
New Englan...
0
Draw
3
Charlotte
30 Aug 1-2
26 Apr 0-1
21 Sep 4-0
06 Apr 1-0
30 Sep 2-1
📖 Methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.
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